Prediction Analysis: FC Tulsa vs Lexington
FC Tulsa vs Lexington prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
USL Championship
2026-07-26
00:30
FC Tulsa
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
FC Tulsa
Probability
54%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Lexington
Away
Prediction Summary
1
54%
X
26%
2
20%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS No
57%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
FC Tulsa (Home)
Goals scored / match1.73
Goals conceded / match0.73
Over 2.5 rate27%
BTTS rate41%
Lexington (Away)
Goals scored / match0.94
Goals conceded / match1.69
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate50%
Team Form last 5 matches
FC Tulsa
WLWDW
Lexington
WLWLD
Goals Comparison rate per team
91%
+0.5
69%
41%
+1.5
13%
27%
+2.5
6%
9%
+3.5
6%
5%
+4.5
0%
41%
BTTS
50%
Model Insight
The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Medium.
FC Tulsa averages 1.73 goals scored at home, while Lexington averages 0.94 goals scored away.
Model Strength
59%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
54%
Draw
26%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
Head-to-Head last 2
Oct 2025
FC Tulsa
3 - 0
Lexington
Home
May 2025
FC Tulsa(A)
2 - 0
Lexington
Home
In the last 2 meetings, FC Tulsa won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
FC Tulsa — unbeaten run (home)1
FC Tulsa — scoring streak (home)3
Lexington — winless run (away)0
Lexington — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
FC Tulsa Win (1)54%
Draw (X)26%
Lexington Win (2)20%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
91%
+0.5
69%
41%
+1.5
13%
27%
+2.5
6%
9%
+3.5
6%
5%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
9%
-0.5
31%
59%
-1.5
87%
73%
-2.5
94%
91%
-3.5
94%
95%
-4.5
100%
FC Tulsa vs Lexington — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
FC Tulsa — scored (home)1.73
FC Tulsa — conceded (home)0.73
Lexington — scored (away)0.94
Lexington — conceded (away)1.69
Model expected combined goals2.31
Both Teams To Score
Yes43%
No57%
Rate per Team
FC Tulsa — BTTS matches (home)41%
Lexington — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)45.5%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Per-Team Corners own matches
FC Tulsa (home)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Lexington (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Yellow Cards per Team
FC Tulsa (home)
For—
Lexington (away)
For—
Shots per Game
FC Tulsa — total shots (home)—
Lexington — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
FC Tulsa — on target (home)—
Lexington — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
FC Tulsa
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Lexington
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.
Average Possession
-%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison FC Tulsa vs Lexington
0%
Pass accuracy
0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
FC Tulsa vs Lexington prediction analysis
Review FC Tulsa vs Lexington with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from USL Championship.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
USL Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights