Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Viktoria Köln vs FC Ingolstadt 04

FC Viktoria Köln vs FC Ingolstadt 04 prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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3. Liga 2025-10-31 18:00
FC Viktoria Köln
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
61%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
FC Ingolstadt 04
Away

Prediction Summary

1
42%
X
23%
2
35%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

FC Viktoria Köln (Home)

Goals scored / match1.32
Goals conceded / match1.42
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate47%

FC Ingolstadt 04 (Away)

Goals scored / match1.79
Goals conceded / match1.42
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate68%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Viktoria Köln
DLWLL
FC Ingolstadt 04
WWLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 89%
47% +1.5 47%
11% +2.5 26%
5% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%
47% BTTS 68%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 61%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC Viktoria Köln averages 1.32 goals scored at home, while FC Ingolstadt 04 averages 1.79 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
42%
Draw
23%
Away Win
35%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
63%

Head-to-Head last 2

Apr 2026 FC Viktoria Köln(A) 2 - 1 FC Ingolstadt 04 Home
Oct 2025 FC Viktoria Köln 3 - 1 FC Ingolstadt 04 Home

In the last 2 meetings, FC Viktoria Köln won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

FC Viktoria Köln — unbeaten run (home)0
FC Viktoria Köln — scoring streak (home)0
FC Ingolstadt 04 — winless run (away)0
FC Ingolstadt 04 — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Viktoria Köln Win (1)42%
Draw (X)23%
FC Ingolstadt 04 Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 89%
47% +1.5 47%
11% +2.5 26%
5% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 11%
53% -1.5 53%
89% -2.5 74%
95% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 95%

FC Viktoria Köln vs FC Ingolstadt 04 — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Viktoria Köln — scored (home)1.32
FC Viktoria Köln — conceded (home)1.42
FC Ingolstadt 04 — scored (away)1.79
FC Ingolstadt 04 — conceded (away)1.42
Model expected combined goals3.17

Both Teams To Score

Yes63%
No37%

Rate per Team

FC Viktoria Köln — BTTS matches (home)47%
FC Ingolstadt 04 — BTTS matches (away)68%
Combined (simple average)57.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.577%
Under 4.523%
Over 5.574%
Under 5.526%
Over 6.562%
Under 6.538%
Over 7.555%
Under 7.545%
Over 8.545%
Under 8.555%
Over 9.526%
Under 9.574%
Over 10.522%
Under 10.578%
Expected total corners (blended average)7.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Viktoria Köln (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against4.3

FC Ingolstadt 04 (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against5.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Viktoria Köln
4 9 0 0 0
FC Ingolstadt 04
14 16 4 0 0

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.581%
Under 2.519%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Viktoria Köln (home)

For2.3

FC Ingolstadt 04 (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

FC Viktoria Köln — total shots (home)12.4
FC Ingolstadt 04 — total shots (away)11.7

Shots on Target

FC Viktoria Köln — on target (home)5.6
FC Ingolstadt 04 — on target (away)4.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Viktoria Köln

Inside the box7.5
Outside the box3.96

FC Ingolstadt 04

Inside the box9.04
Outside the box4.11

Player Shots FC Viktoria Köln

L. Lobinger
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target22%
D. Otto
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target32%
T. Duman
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
B. Zank
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target14%
R. Velasco
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots FC Ingolstadt 04

M. Costly
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target84%
+1.5 On Target32%
Yann Sturm
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target25%
D. Kaygin
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target12%
F. Carlsen
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target10%
F. Christensen
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Viktoria Köln xG (home)1.39
FC Ingolstadt 04 xG (away)1.74

Average Possession

50.92% Possession 47.78%

Team Comparison FC Viktoria Köln vs FC Ingolstadt 04

82.71% Pass accuracy 77.52%
437.08 Passes per match 406.19
0 Goals prevented 0
14.08 Fouls committed 11.56
3.38 Goalkeeper saves 4
1.67 Offsides 2.81
1.68 Tackles per match 3.28

League average xG this season is 1.6 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Viktoria Köln vs FC Ingolstadt 04 prediction analysis

Review FC Viktoria Köln vs FC Ingolstadt 04 with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 3. Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 3. Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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