Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Viktoria Köln vs Verl

FC Viktoria Köln vs Verl prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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3. Liga 2025-11-22 13:00
FC Viktoria Köln
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
67%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Verl
Away

Prediction Summary

1
45%
X
22%
2
33%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS Yes
67%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

FC Viktoria Köln (Home)

Goals scored / match1.32
Goals conceded / match1.42
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate47%

Verl (Away)

Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match1.58
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate74%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Viktoria Köln
DLWLL
Verl
WLWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 79%
47% +1.5 53%
11% +2.5 16%
5% +3.5 16%
0% +4.5 5%
47% BTTS 74%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 67%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC Viktoria Köln averages 1.32 goals scored at home, while Verl averages 1.68 goals scored away.

Model Strength
67%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
45%
Draw
22%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS Yes
67%

Head-to-Head last 2

Apr 2026 FC Viktoria Köln(A) 0 - 2 Verl Away
Nov 2025 FC Viktoria Köln 1 - 5 Verl Away

In the last 2 meetings, FC Viktoria Köln won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

FC Viktoria Köln — unbeaten run (home)0
FC Viktoria Köln — scoring streak (home)0
Verl — winless run (away)4
Verl — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Viktoria Köln Win (1)45%
Draw (X)22%
Verl Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 79%
47% +1.5 53%
11% +2.5 16%
5% +3.5 16%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 21%
53% -1.5 47%
89% -2.5 84%
95% -3.5 84%
100% -4.5 95%

FC Viktoria Köln vs Verl — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Viktoria Köln — scored (home)1.32
FC Viktoria Köln — conceded (home)1.42
Verl — scored (away)1.68
Verl — conceded (away)1.58
Model expected combined goals3.43

Both Teams To Score

Yes67%
No33%

Rate per Team

FC Viktoria Köln — BTTS matches (home)47%
Verl — BTTS matches (away)74%
Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.577%
Under 4.523%
Over 5.574%
Under 5.526%
Over 6.571%
Under 6.529%
Over 7.565%
Under 7.535%
Over 8.548%
Under 8.552%
Over 9.532%
Under 9.568%
Over 10.522%
Under 10.578%
Expected total corners (blended average)7.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Viktoria Köln (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against4.3

Verl (away)

Corners for6.2
Corners against3.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Viktoria Köln
4 9 0 0 0
Verl
4 10 0 0 0

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Viktoria Köln (home)

For2.3

Verl (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

FC Viktoria Köln — total shots (home)12.4
Verl — total shots (away)12.9

Shots on Target

FC Viktoria Köln — on target (home)5.6
Verl — on target (away)4.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Viktoria Köln

Inside the box7.5
Outside the box3.96

Verl

Inside the box9.11
Outside the box5.89

Player Shots FC Viktoria Köln

L. Lobinger
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target22%
D. Otto
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target32%
T. Duman
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
B. Zank
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target14%
R. Velasco
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Verl

A. Besio
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target41%
B. Taz
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target40%
J. Arweiler
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
O. Mhamdi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target4%
T. Gayret
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Viktoria Köln xG (home)1.39
Verl xG (away)1.63

Average Possession

50.92% Possession 65.93%

Team Comparison FC Viktoria Köln vs Verl

82.71% Pass accuracy 86.85%
437.08 Passes per match 594
0 Goals prevented 0
14.08 Fouls committed 9.63
3.38 Goalkeeper saves 2.67
1.67 Offsides 2.33
1.68 Tackles per match 2.4

League average xG this season is 1.6 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Viktoria Köln vs Verl prediction analysis

Review FC Viktoria Köln vs Verl with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 3. Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 3. Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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