Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Volendam vs NAC Breda

FC Volendam vs NAC Breda prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eredivisie 2025-11-08 17:45
FC Volendam
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
64%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-1
NAC Breda
Away

Prediction Summary

1
58%
X
21%
2
21%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS Yes
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

FC Volendam (Home)

Goals scored / match1.41
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate76%

NAC Breda (Away)

Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match2.06
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Volendam
LDLWL
NAC Breda
DWLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 53%
47% +1.5 24%
12% +2.5 12%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
76% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 64%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC Volendam averages 1.41 goals scored at home, while NAC Breda averages 0.88 goals scored away.

Model Strength
64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
58%
Draw
21%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS Yes
61%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 FC Volendam(A) 0 - 1 NAC Breda Away
Nov 2025 FC Volendam 2 - 1 NAC Breda Home
Jan 2022 FC Volendam(A) 0 - 0 NAC Breda Draw
Oct 2021 FC Volendam 1 - 0 NAC Breda Home
May 2021 FC Volendam(A) 1 - 4 NAC Breda Away

In the last 5 meetings, FC Volendam won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

FC Volendam — unbeaten run (home)0
FC Volendam — scoring streak (home)1
NAC Breda — winless run (away)6
NAC Breda — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Volendam Win (1)58%
Draw (X)21%
NAC Breda Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 53%
47% +1.5 24%
12% +2.5 12%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 47%
53% -1.5 76%
88% -2.5 88%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

FC Volendam vs NAC Breda — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Volendam — scored (home)1.41
FC Volendam — conceded (home)1.35
NAC Breda — scored (away)0.88
NAC Breda — conceded (away)2.06
Model expected combined goals3.3

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%
No39%

Rate per Team

FC Volendam — BTTS matches (home)76%
NAC Breda — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)61.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.597%
Under 6.53%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Volendam (home)

Corners for4.5
Corners against5.5

NAC Breda (away)

Corners for5.5
Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Volendam
8 14 12 5 7
NAC Breda
13 13 12 10 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Volendam (home)

For2.0

NAC Breda (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

FC Volendam — total shots (home)13.0
NAC Breda — total shots (away)13.4

Shots on Target

FC Volendam — on target (home)4.7
NAC Breda — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Volendam

Inside the box6.74
Outside the box4.26

NAC Breda

Inside the box8.56
Outside the box5.56

Player Shots FC Volendam

A. Descotte
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
B. Pauwels
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target13%
H. Veerman
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target8%
B. Kuwas
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target6%
R. Mühren
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots NAC Breda

M. Soumano
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
S. van Hooijdonk
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
C. Brym
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
M. Nassoh
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target11%
A. Ayew
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Volendam xG (home)1.06
NAC Breda xG (away)1.21

Average Possession

44.91% Possession 48.85%

Team Comparison FC Volendam vs NAC Breda

77.91% Pass accuracy 77.59%
361 Passes per match 394.91
0.17 Goals prevented 0.02
9.76 Fouls committed 10.82
4.47 Goalkeeper saves 3.53
1.32 Offsides 1.52
16.79 Tackles per match 16.24

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Volendam vs NAC Breda prediction analysis

Review FC Volendam vs NAC Breda with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eredivisie.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eredivisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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