Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Volendam vs NEC Nijmegen

FC Volendam vs NEC Nijmegen prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eredivisie 2025-12-07 13:30
FC Volendam
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
67%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
NEC Nijmegen
Away

Prediction Summary

1
42%
X
22%
2
36%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS Yes
67%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

FC Volendam (Home)

Goals scored / match1.41
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate76%

NEC Nijmegen (Away)

Goals scored / match2.12
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate35%
BTTS rate88%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Volendam
LDLWL
NEC Nijmegen
WLDDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 94%
47% +1.5 65%
12% +2.5 35%
0% +3.5 18%
0% +4.5 0%
76% BTTS 88%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 67%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC Volendam averages 1.41 goals scored at home, while NEC Nijmegen averages 2.12 goals scored away.

Model Strength
67%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
42%
Draw
22%
Away Win
36%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS Yes
67%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 FC Volendam(A) 0 - 3 NEC Nijmegen Away
Feb 2026 FC Volendam(A) 0 - 1 NEC Nijmegen Away
Dec 2025 FC Volendam 2 - 3 NEC Nijmegen Away
Mar 2024 FC Volendam 2 - 5 NEC Nijmegen Away
Nov 2023 FC Volendam(A) 3 - 3 NEC Nijmegen Draw

In the last 5 meetings, FC Volendam won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

FC Volendam — unbeaten run (home)0
FC Volendam — scoring streak (home)1
NEC Nijmegen — winless run (away)2
NEC Nijmegen — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Volendam Win (1)42%
Draw (X)22%
NEC Nijmegen Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 94%
47% +1.5 65%
12% +2.5 35%
0% +3.5 18%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 6%
53% -1.5 35%
88% -2.5 65%
100% -3.5 82%
100% -4.5 100%

FC Volendam vs NEC Nijmegen — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Volendam — scored (home)1.41
FC Volendam — conceded (home)1.35
NEC Nijmegen — scored (away)2.12
NEC Nijmegen — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals3.43

Both Teams To Score

Yes67%
No33%

Rate per Team

FC Volendam — BTTS matches (home)76%
NEC Nijmegen — BTTS matches (away)88%
Combined (simple average)82%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.591%
Under 6.59%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.559%
Under 9.541%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Volendam (home)

Corners for4.5
Corners against5.5

NEC Nijmegen (away)

Corners for5.5
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Volendam
8 14 12 5 7
NEC Nijmegen
5 12 9 11 17

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.583%
Under 2.517%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Volendam (home)

For2.0

NEC Nijmegen (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

FC Volendam — total shots (home)13.0
NEC Nijmegen — total shots (away)15.8

Shots on Target

FC Volendam — on target (home)4.7
NEC Nijmegen — on target (away)6.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Volendam

Inside the box6.74
Outside the box4.26

NEC Nijmegen

Inside the box10.65
Outside the box6.41

Player Shots FC Volendam

A. Descotte
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
B. Pauwels
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target13%
H. Veerman
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target8%
B. Kuwas
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target6%
R. Mühren
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots NEC Nijmegen

T. Chery
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target42%
B. Linssen
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target28%
N. Lebreton
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target18%
Koki Ogawa
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target19%
B. Önal
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Volendam xG (home)1.06
NEC Nijmegen xG (away)1.88

Average Possession

44.91% Possession 56.62%

Team Comparison FC Volendam vs NEC Nijmegen

77.91% Pass accuracy 78.74%
361 Passes per match 429.21
0.17 Goals prevented -0.09
9.76 Fouls committed 11.91
4.47 Goalkeeper saves 3.41
1.32 Offsides 2.19
16.79 Tackles per match 15.44

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Volendam vs NEC Nijmegen prediction analysis

Review FC Volendam vs NEC Nijmegen with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eredivisie.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eredivisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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