Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Volendam vs Sparta Rotterdam

FC Volendam vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eredivisie 2025-12-21 15:45
FC Volendam
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Sparta Rotterdam
Away

Prediction Summary

1
50%
X
23%
2
27%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

FC Volendam (Home)

Goals scored / match1.41
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate76%

Sparta Rotterdam (Away)

Goals scored / match1.12
Goals conceded / match2.06
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Volendam
LDLWL
Sparta Rotterdam
LLDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 71%
47% +1.5 24%
12% +2.5 12%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
76% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC Volendam averages 1.41 goals scored at home, while Sparta Rotterdam averages 1.12 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
50%
Draw
23%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
60%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 FC Volendam(A) 0 - 2 Sparta Rotterdam Away
Jan 2026 FC Volendam(A) 2 - 1 Sparta Rotterdam Home
Dec 2025 FC Volendam 0 - 1 Sparta Rotterdam Away
Apr 2024 FC Volendam(A) 0 - 1 Sparta Rotterdam Away
Nov 2023 FC Volendam 1 - 4 Sparta Rotterdam Away

In the last 5 meetings, FC Volendam won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

FC Volendam — unbeaten run (home)0
FC Volendam — scoring streak (home)1
Sparta Rotterdam — winless run (away)7
Sparta Rotterdam — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Volendam Win (1)50%
Draw (X)23%
Sparta Rotterdam Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 71%
47% +1.5 24%
12% +2.5 12%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 29%
53% -1.5 76%
88% -2.5 88%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

FC Volendam vs Sparta Rotterdam — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Volendam — scored (home)1.41
FC Volendam — conceded (home)1.35
Sparta Rotterdam — scored (away)1.12
Sparta Rotterdam — conceded (away)2.06
Model expected combined goals3.06

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%
No40%

Rate per Team

FC Volendam — BTTS matches (home)76%
Sparta Rotterdam — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)58.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.5100%
Under 6.50%
Over 7.591%
Under 7.59%
Over 8.577%
Under 8.523%
Over 9.559%
Under 9.541%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Volendam (home)

Corners for4.5
Corners against5.5

Sparta Rotterdam (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against6.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Volendam
8 14 12 5 7
Sparta Rotterdam
7 11 14 11 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.583%
Under 2.517%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Volendam (home)

For2.0

Sparta Rotterdam (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

FC Volendam — total shots (home)13.0
Sparta Rotterdam — total shots (away)12.2

Shots on Target

FC Volendam — on target (home)4.7
Sparta Rotterdam — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Volendam

Inside the box6.74
Outside the box4.26

Sparta Rotterdam

Inside the box8.41
Outside the box4.59

Player Shots FC Volendam

A. Descotte
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
B. Pauwels
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target13%
H. Veerman
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target8%
B. Kuwas
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target6%
R. Mühren
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Sparta Rotterdam

T. Lauritsen
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target12%
M. Zonneveld
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target9%
M. van Bergen
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Mito
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target16%
A. Oufkir
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Volendam xG (home)1.06
Sparta Rotterdam xG (away)1.34

Average Possession

44.91% Possession 47.03%

Team Comparison FC Volendam vs Sparta Rotterdam

77.91% Pass accuracy 79.41%
361 Passes per match 396.12
0.17 Goals prevented 0.04
9.76 Fouls committed 9.85
4.47 Goalkeeper saves 4.21
1.32 Offsides 1.24
16.79 Tackles per match 17.06

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Volendam vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction analysis

Review FC Volendam vs Sparta Rotterdam with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eredivisie.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eredivisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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