Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Winterthur vs FC Thun

FC Winterthur vs FC Thun prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Super League 2025-12-16 19:30
FC Winterthur
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
67%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-2
FC Thun
Away

Prediction Summary

1
25%
X
21%
2
53%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS Yes
65%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

FC Winterthur (Home)

Goals scored / match1.21
Goals conceded / match2.26
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate74%

FC Thun (Away)

Goals scored / match1.84
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate68%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Winterthur
LLWDL
FC Thun
DLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 89%
37% +1.5 58%
5% +2.5 26%
5% +3.5 11%
0% +4.5 0%
74% BTTS 68%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 67%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC Winterthur averages 1.21 goals scored at home, while FC Thun averages 1.84 goals scored away.

Model Strength
67%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
25%
Draw
21%
Away Win
53%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS Yes
65%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 FC Winterthur 0 - 3 FC Thun Away
Dec 2025 FC Winterthur 1 - 4 FC Thun Away
Oct 2025 FC Winterthur(A) 0 - 3 FC Thun Away
May 2022 FC Winterthur 2 - 2 FC Thun Draw
Feb 2022 FC Winterthur(A) 4 - 2 FC Thun Home

In the last 5 meetings, FC Winterthur won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

FC Winterthur — unbeaten run (home)0
FC Winterthur — scoring streak (home)0
FC Thun — winless run (away)5
FC Thun — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Winterthur Win (1)25%
Draw (X)21%
FC Thun Win (2)53%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 89%
37% +1.5 58%
5% +2.5 26%
5% +3.5 11%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 11%
63% -1.5 42%
95% -2.5 74%
95% -3.5 89%
100% -4.5 100%

FC Winterthur vs FC Thun — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Winterthur — scored (home)1.21
FC Winterthur — conceded (home)2.26
FC Thun — scored (away)1.84
FC Thun — conceded (away)1.21
Model expected combined goals3.44

Both Teams To Score

Yes65%
No35%

Rate per Team

FC Winterthur — BTTS matches (home)74%
FC Thun — BTTS matches (away)68%
Combined (simple average)71%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.548%
Under 9.552%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Winterthur (home)

Corners for3.8
Corners against5.9

FC Thun (away)

Corners for5.2
Corners against4.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Winterthur
8 9 13 16 7
FC Thun
12 7 12 5 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Winterthur (home)

For2.4

FC Thun (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

FC Winterthur — total shots (home)12.5
FC Thun — total shots (away)16.9

Shots on Target

FC Winterthur — on target (home)4.2
FC Thun — on target (away)5.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Winterthur

Inside the box7.74
Outside the box4.05

FC Thun

Inside the box10.82
Outside the box6.21

Player Shots FC Winterthur

C. Gomis
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target0%
A. Hunziker
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
N. Burkart
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target23%
P. Kasami
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target8%
T. Golliard
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots FC Thun

E. Rastoder
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target22%
L. Bertone
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target18%
C. Ibayi
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target7%
K. Imeri
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target17%
E. Meichtry
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target23%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Winterthur xG (home)1.34
FC Thun xG (away)1.83

Average Possession

43.92% Possession 46.13%

Team Comparison FC Winterthur vs FC Thun

73.42% Pass accuracy 70.97%
344.13 Passes per match 318.97
0.36 Goals prevented -0.05
12.87 Fouls committed 15.66
4.34 Goalkeeper saves 3.21
1.25 Offsides 2.34
19.05 Tackles per match 17.08

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Winterthur vs FC Thun prediction analysis

Review FC Winterthur vs FC Thun with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Super League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Super League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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