Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Winterthur vs FC Zurich

FC Winterthur vs FC Zurich prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Super League 2025-08-30 16:00
FC Winterthur
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
62%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
FC Zurich
Away

Prediction Summary

1
36%
X
23%
2
41%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
64%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

FC Winterthur (Home)

Goals scored / match1.21
Goals conceded / match2.26
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate74%

FC Zurich (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05
Goals conceded / match1.89
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Winterthur
LLWDL
FC Zurich
LLWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

74% +0.5 63%
37% +1.5 37%
5% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
74% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC Winterthur averages 1.21 goals scored at home, while FC Zurich averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength
64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
36%
Draw
23%
Away Win
41%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
64%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 FC Winterthur 2 - 2 FC Zurich Draw
Feb 2026 FC Winterthur(A) 0 - 3 FC Zurich Away
Dec 2025 FC Winterthur(A) 2 - 2 FC Zurich Draw
Aug 2025 FC Winterthur 1 - 3 FC Zurich Away
May 2025 FC Winterthur(A) 1 - 4 FC Zurich Away

In the last 5 meetings, FC Winterthur won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

FC Winterthur — unbeaten run (home)0
FC Winterthur — scoring streak (home)0
FC Zurich — winless run (away)6
FC Zurich — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Winterthur Win (1)36%
Draw (X)23%
FC Zurich Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

74% +0.5 63%
37% +1.5 37%
5% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

26% -0.5 37%
63% -1.5 63%
95% -2.5 95%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

FC Winterthur vs FC Zurich — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Winterthur — scored (home)1.21
FC Winterthur — conceded (home)2.26
FC Zurich — scored (away)1.05
FC Zurich — conceded (away)1.89
Model expected combined goals3.21

Both Teams To Score

Yes64%
No36%

Rate per Team

FC Winterthur — BTTS matches (home)74%
FC Zurich — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)68.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.592%
Under 6.58%
Over 7.585%
Under 7.515%
Over 8.571%
Under 8.529%
Over 9.555%
Under 9.545%
Over 10.555%
Under 10.545%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Winterthur (home)

Corners for3.8
Corners against5.9

FC Zurich (away)

Corners for4.6
Corners against6.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Winterthur
8 9 13 16 7
FC Zurich
9 9 10 15 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Winterthur (home)

For2.4

FC Zurich (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

FC Winterthur — total shots (home)12.5
FC Zurich — total shots (away)11.3

Shots on Target

FC Winterthur — on target (home)4.2
FC Zurich — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Winterthur

Inside the box7.74
Outside the box4.05

FC Zurich

Inside the box8.58
Outside the box4.39

Player Shots FC Winterthur

C. Gomis
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target0%
A. Hunziker
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
N. Burkart
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target23%
P. Kasami
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target8%
T. Golliard
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots FC Zurich

S. Zuber
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target39%
P. Keny
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target34%
J. Markelo
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
M. Phaëton
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target12%
D. Reverson
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Winterthur xG (home)1.34
FC Zurich xG (away)1.51

Average Possession

43.92% Possession 50.53%

Team Comparison FC Winterthur vs FC Zurich

73.42% Pass accuracy 74.97%
344.13 Passes per match 365.39
0.36 Goals prevented -0.01
12.87 Fouls committed 14.26
4.34 Goalkeeper saves 3.5
1.25 Offsides 1.46
19.05 Tackles per match 16.66

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Winterthur vs FC Zurich prediction analysis

Review FC Winterthur vs FC Zurich with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Super League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Super League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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