Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893

FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893 prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Super League 2026-08-22 18:30
FC Zurich
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
64%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
FC Basel 1893
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
23%
2
37%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS Yes
65%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

FC Zurich (Home)

Goals scored / match1.53
Goals conceded / match1.89
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate68%

FC Basel 1893 (Away)

Goals scored / match1.35
Goals conceded / match1.85
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate55%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Zurich
LLWDL
FC Basel 1893
WLLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 75%
53% +1.5 40%
21% +2.5 15%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
68% BTTS 55%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 64%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC Zurich averages 1.53 goals scored at home, while FC Basel 1893 averages 1.35 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
23%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS Yes
65%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 FC Zurich(A) 1 - 2 FC Basel 1893 Away
Jan 2026 FC Zurich 3 - 4 FC Basel 1893 Away
Oct 2025 FC Zurich(A) 0 - 2 FC Basel 1893 Away
Apr 2025 FC Zurich 0 - 4 FC Basel 1893 Away
Feb 2025 FC Zurich 0 - 1 FC Basel 1893 Away

In the last 5 meetings, FC Zurich won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

FC Zurich — unbeaten run (home)0
FC Zurich — scoring streak (home)0
FC Basel 1893 — winless run (away)0
FC Basel 1893 — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Zurich Win (1)40%
Draw (X)23%
FC Basel 1893 Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 75%
53% +1.5 40%
21% +2.5 15%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 25%
47% -1.5 60%
79% -2.5 85%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893 — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Zurich — scored (home)1.53
FC Zurich — conceded (home)1.89
FC Basel 1893 — scored (away)1.35
FC Basel 1893 — conceded (away)1.85
Model expected combined goals3.31

Both Teams To Score

Yes65%
No35%

Rate per Team

FC Zurich — BTTS matches (home)68%
FC Basel 1893 — BTTS matches (away)55%
Combined (simple average)61.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.567%
Under 8.533%
Over 9.555%
Under 9.545%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Zurich (home)

Corners for4.9
Corners against5.4

FC Basel 1893 (away)

Corners for5.4
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Zurich
9 9 10 15 14
FC Basel 1893
7 11 18 10 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.593%
Under 1.57%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Zurich (home)

For2.6

FC Basel 1893 (away)

For2.4

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.590%
Under 19.510%
Over 22.581%
Under 22.519%
Over 25.568%
Under 25.532%
Expected total shots30.09

FC Zurich

Shots Over 9.590%
Shots Over 11.579%
Shots Over 13.565%
Expected shots15.91
On Target Over 3.579%
On Target Over 4.565%
On Target Over 5.550%
Expected on target5.80

FC Basel 1893

Shots Over 9.583%
Shots Over 11.569%
Shots Over 13.552%
Expected shots14.18
On Target Over 3.572%
On Target Over 4.556%
On Target Over 5.540%
Expected on target5.12

Shots per Game

FC Zurich — total shots (home)14.6
FC Basel 1893 — total shots (away)14.3

Shots on Target

FC Zurich — on target (home)5.4
FC Basel 1893 — on target (away)5.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Zurich

Inside the box8.58
Outside the box4.39

FC Basel 1893

Inside the box10.18
Outside the box5

Player Shots FC Zurich

S. Zuber
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target39%
P. Keny
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target34%
J. Markelo
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
M. Phaëton
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target12%
D. Reverson
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots FC Basel 1893

P. Otele
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target40%
Kevin Carlos
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
J. Duranville
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
B. Traoré
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target7%
X. Shaqiri
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Zurich xG (home)1.51
FC Basel 1893 xG (away)1.93

Average Possession

50.53% Possession 55.08%

Team Comparison FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893

74.97% Pass accuracy 82.5%
365.39 Passes per match 449.82
-0.01 Goals prevented -0.15
14.26 Fouls committed 10.34
3.5 Goalkeeper saves 3.68
1.46 Offsides 1.94
16.66 Tackles per match 16.82

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893 prediction analysis

Review FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893 with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Super League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Super League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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