Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Zurich vs FC Thun

FC Zurich vs FC Thun prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Super League 2025-08-23 16:00
FC Zurich
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
63%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
FC Thun
Away

Prediction Summary

1
28%
X
23%
2
49%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
63%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

FC Zurich (Home)

Goals scored / match1.53
Goals conceded / match1.89
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate68%

FC Thun (Away)

Goals scored / match1.84
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate68%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Zurich
LLWDL
FC Thun
DLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 89%
53% +1.5 58%
21% +2.5 26%
0% +3.5 11%
0% +4.5 0%
68% BTTS 68%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 63%. Model confidence is Medium.

FC Zurich averages 1.53 goals scored at home, while FC Thun averages 1.84 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
28%
Draw
23%
Away Win
49%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
63%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 FC Zurich 2 - 1 FC Thun Home
Dec 2025 FC Zurich(A) 2 - 4 FC Thun Away
Aug 2025 FC Zurich 0 - 4 FC Thun Away
Aug 2020 FC Zurich 3 - 3 FC Thun Draw
Jul 2020 FC Zurich(A) 2 - 3 FC Thun Away

In the last 5 meetings, FC Zurich won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

FC Zurich — unbeaten run (home)0
FC Zurich — scoring streak (home)0
FC Thun — winless run (away)5
FC Thun — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Zurich Win (1)28%
Draw (X)23%
FC Thun Win (2)49%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 89%
53% +1.5 58%
21% +2.5 26%
0% +3.5 11%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 11%
47% -1.5 42%
79% -2.5 74%
100% -3.5 89%
100% -4.5 100%

FC Zurich vs FC Thun — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Zurich — scored (home)1.53
FC Zurich — conceded (home)1.89
FC Thun — scored (away)1.84
FC Thun — conceded (away)1.21
Model expected combined goals3.24

Both Teams To Score

Yes63%
No37%

Rate per Team

FC Zurich — BTTS matches (home)68%
FC Thun — BTTS matches (away)68%
Combined (simple average)68%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.592%
Under 6.58%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.556%
Under 9.544%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Zurich (home)

Corners for4.9
Corners against5.4

FC Thun (away)

Corners for5.2
Corners against4.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Zurich
9 9 10 15 14
FC Thun
12 7 12 5 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.595%
Under 2.55%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Zurich (home)

For2.6

FC Thun (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

FC Zurich — total shots (home)14.6
FC Thun — total shots (away)16.9

Shots on Target

FC Zurich — on target (home)5.4
FC Thun — on target (away)5.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Zurich

Inside the box8.58
Outside the box4.39

FC Thun

Inside the box10.82
Outside the box6.21

Player Shots FC Zurich

S. Zuber
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target39%
P. Keny
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target34%
J. Markelo
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
M. Phaëton
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target12%
D. Reverson
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots FC Thun

E. Rastoder
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target22%
L. Bertone
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target18%
C. Ibayi
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target7%
K. Imeri
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target17%
E. Meichtry
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target23%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Zurich xG (home)1.51
FC Thun xG (away)1.83

Average Possession

50.53% Possession 46.13%

Team Comparison FC Zurich vs FC Thun

74.97% Pass accuracy 70.97%
365.39 Passes per match 318.97
-0.01 Goals prevented -0.05
14.26 Fouls committed 15.66
3.5 Goalkeeper saves 3.21
1.46 Offsides 2.34
16.66 Tackles per match 17.08

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Zurich vs FC Thun prediction analysis

Review FC Zurich vs FC Thun with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Super League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Super League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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