Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FC Zurich vs FC Winterthur

FC Zurich vs FC Winterthur prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Super League 2025-12-13 17:00
FC Zurich
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
75%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
FC Winterthur
Away

Prediction Summary

1
61%
X
18%
2
21%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Yes
70%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

FC Zurich (Home)

Goals scored / match1.53
Goals conceded / match1.89
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate68%

FC Winterthur (Away)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match3
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

FC Zurich
LLWDL
FC Winterthur
LLWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 63%
53% +1.5 37%
21% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
68% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 75%. Model confidence is High.

FC Zurich averages 1.53 goals scored at home, while FC Winterthur averages 1.11 goals scored away.

Model Strength
75%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
61%
Draw
18%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS Yes
70%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 FC Zurich(A) 2 - 2 FC Winterthur Draw
Feb 2026 FC Zurich 3 - 0 FC Winterthur Home
Dec 2025 FC Zurich 2 - 2 FC Winterthur Draw
Aug 2025 FC Zurich(A) 3 - 1 FC Winterthur Home
May 2025 FC Zurich 4 - 1 FC Winterthur Home

In the last 5 meetings, FC Zurich won 3, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

FC Zurich — unbeaten run (home)0
FC Zurich — scoring streak (home)0
FC Winterthur — winless run (away)3
FC Winterthur — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FC Zurich Win (1)61%
Draw (X)18%
FC Winterthur Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 63%
53% +1.5 37%
21% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 37%
47% -1.5 63%
79% -2.5 89%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

FC Zurich vs FC Winterthur — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FC Zurich — scored (home)1.53
FC Zurich — conceded (home)1.89
FC Winterthur — scored (away)1.11
FC Winterthur — conceded (away)3
Model expected combined goals3.94

Both Teams To Score

Yes70%
No30%

Rate per Team

FC Zurich — BTTS matches (home)68%
FC Winterthur — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)65.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.589%
Under 6.511%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.566%
Under 8.534%
Over 9.556%
Under 9.544%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

FC Zurich (home)

Corners for4.9
Corners against5.4

FC Winterthur (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against6.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FC Zurich
9 9 10 15 14
FC Winterthur
8 9 13 16 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

FC Zurich (home)

For2.6

FC Winterthur (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

FC Zurich — total shots (home)14.6
FC Winterthur — total shots (away)11.1

Shots on Target

FC Zurich — on target (home)5.4
FC Winterthur — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FC Zurich

Inside the box8.58
Outside the box4.39

FC Winterthur

Inside the box7.74
Outside the box4.05

Player Shots FC Zurich

S. Zuber
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target39%
P. Keny
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target34%
J. Markelo
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
M. Phaëton
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target12%
D. Reverson
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots FC Winterthur

C. Gomis
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target0%
A. Hunziker
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
N. Burkart
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target23%
P. Kasami
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target8%
T. Golliard
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Zurich xG (home)1.51
FC Winterthur xG (away)1.34

Average Possession

50.53% Possession 43.92%

Team Comparison FC Zurich vs FC Winterthur

74.97% Pass accuracy 73.42%
365.39 Passes per match 344.13
-0.01 Goals prevented 0.36
14.26 Fouls committed 12.87
3.5 Goalkeeper saves 4.34
1.46 Offsides 1.25
16.66 Tackles per match 19.05

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FC Zurich vs FC Winterthur prediction analysis

Review FC Zurich vs FC Winterthur with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Super League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Super League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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