Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FCSB vs Lyon

FCSB vs Lyon prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2025-03-06 17:45
FCSB
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Lyon
Away

Prediction Summary

1
32%
X
25%
2
43%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

FCSB (Home)

Goals scored / match1.43
Goals conceded / match0.86
Over 2.5 rate14%
BTTS rate29%

Lyon (Away)

Goals scored / match2.83
Goals conceded / match1.67
Over 2.5 rate67%
BTTS rate83%

Team Form last 5 matches

FCSB
LLWWL
Lyon
LDWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 83%
43% +1.5 83%
14% +2.5 67%
14% +3.5 50%
0% +4.5 0%
29% BTTS 83%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Medium.

FCSB averages 1.43 goals scored at home, while Lyon averages 2.83 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
32%
Draw
25%
Away Win
43%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 2

Mar 2025 FCSB(A) 0 - 4 Lyon Away
Mar 2025 FCSB 1 - 3 Lyon Away

In the last 2 meetings, FCSB won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

FCSB — unbeaten run (home)0
FCSB — scoring streak (home)2
Lyon — winless run (away)1
Lyon — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FCSB Win (1)32%
Draw (X)25%
Lyon Win (2)43%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 83%
43% +1.5 83%
14% +2.5 67%
14% +3.5 50%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 17%
57% -1.5 17%
86% -2.5 33%
86% -3.5 50%
100% -4.5 100%

FCSB vs Lyon — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FCSB — scored (home)1.43
FCSB — conceded (home)0.86
Lyon — scored (away)2.83
Lyon — conceded (away)1.67
Model expected combined goals2.75

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

FCSB — BTTS matches (home)29%
Lyon — BTTS matches (away)83%
Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.585%
Under 7.515%
Over 8.569%
Under 8.531%
Over 9.562%
Under 9.538%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

FCSB (home)

Corners for5.1
Corners against5.7

Lyon (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FCSB
9 3 12 11 4
Lyon
15 11 4 13 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.586%
Under 1.514%
Over 2.562%
Under 2.538%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

FCSB (home)

For2.3

Lyon (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

FCSB — total shots (home)10.9
Lyon — total shots (away)15.5

Shots on Target

FCSB — on target (home)4.1
Lyon — on target (away)7.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FCSB

Inside the box6.33
Outside the box3.92

Lyon

Inside the box11.83
Outside the box5.33

Player Shots FCSB

D. Olaru
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
J. Cisotti
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
M. Ștefănescu
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
A. Șut
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%
D. Miculescu
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Lyon

T. Almada
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
P. Akouokou
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
E. Nuamah
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Fofana
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target30%
R. Cherki
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target33%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FCSB xG (home)1.03
Lyon xG (away)1.88

Average Possession

42.15% Possession 56.42%

Team Comparison FCSB vs Lyon

76.58% Pass accuracy 85.33%
364.67 Passes per match 545.83
-0.25 Goals prevented 0.12
14.62 Fouls committed 11.5
2.62 Goalkeeper saves 3.58
2.08 Offsides 2
19.83 Tackles per match 17.5

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FCSB vs Lyon prediction analysis

Review FCSB vs Lyon with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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