Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FCSB vs Rīgas FS

FCSB vs Rīgas FS prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
UEFA Europa League 2024-09-26 19:00
FCSB
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
43%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Rīgas FS
Away

Prediction Summary

1
54%
X
26%
2
21%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS No
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

FCSB (Home)

Goals scored / match1.43
Goals conceded / match0.86
Over 2.5 rate14%
BTTS rate29%

Rīgas FS (Away)

Goals scored / match0.83
Goals conceded / match1.67
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

FCSB
LLWWL
Rīgas FS
LWLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 67%
43% +1.5 17%
14% +2.5 0%
14% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
29% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

FCSB averages 1.43 goals scored at home, while Rīgas FS averages 0.83 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
54%
Draw
26%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
43%
BTTS Yes
45%

Head-to-Head last 1

Sep 2024 FCSB 4 - 1 Rīgas FS Home

In the last 1 meetings, FCSB won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

FCSB — unbeaten run (home)0
FCSB — scoring streak (home)2
Rīgas FS — winless run (away)5
Rīgas FS — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FCSB Win (1)54%
Draw (X)26%
Rīgas FS Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 67%
43% +1.5 17%
14% +2.5 0%
14% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 33%
57% -1.5 83%
86% -2.5 100%
86% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

FCSB vs Rīgas FS — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FCSB — scored (home)1.43
FCSB — conceded (home)0.86
Rīgas FS — scored (away)0.83
Rīgas FS — conceded (away)1.67
Model expected combined goals2.39

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%
No55%

Rate per Team

FCSB — BTTS matches (home)29%
Rīgas FS — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)39.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.584%
Under 5.516%
Over 6.577%
Under 6.523%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.569%
Under 8.531%
Over 9.554%
Under 9.546%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

FCSB (home)

Corners for5.1
Corners against5.7

Rīgas FS (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FCSB
9 3 12 11 4
Rīgas FS
12 11 5 6 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.569%
Under 1.531%
Over 2.562%
Under 2.538%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

FCSB (home)

For2.3

Rīgas FS (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

FCSB — total shots (home)10.9
Rīgas FS — total shots (away)10.0

Shots on Target

FCSB — on target (home)4.1
Rīgas FS — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FCSB

Inside the box6.33
Outside the box3.92

Rīgas FS

Inside the box6.63
Outside the box2.25

Player Shots FCSB

D. Olaru
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
J. Cisotti
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
M. Ștefănescu
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
A. Șut
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%
D. Miculescu
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Rīgas FS

J. Ikaunieks
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target38%
A. Marhiev
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
D. Lemajić
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
R. Savaļnieks
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
L. Odisharia
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FCSB xG (home)1.03
Rīgas FS xG (away)0.87

Average Possession

42.15% Possession 36.67%

Team Comparison FCSB vs Rīgas FS

76.58% Pass accuracy 75.75%
364.67 Passes per match 340.5
-0.25 Goals prevented -0.2
14.62 Fouls committed 13.33
2.62 Goalkeeper saves 3.33
2.08 Offsides 1.67
19.83 Tackles per match 16

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FCSB vs Rīgas FS prediction analysis

Review FCSB vs Rīgas FS with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top