Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Fenerbahçe vs Anderlecht

Fenerbahçe vs Anderlecht prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2025-02-13 17:45
Fenerbahçe
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
32%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Anderlecht
Away

Prediction Summary

1
29%
X
31%
2
41%
Under 2.5
68%
BTTS No
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Fenerbahçe (Home)

Goals scored / match1.17
Goals conceded / match1.17
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate50%

Anderlecht (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.33
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Fenerbahçe
WLDWD
Anderlecht
DLLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

67% +0.5 67%
33% +1.5 33%
17% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
50% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 32%. Model confidence is Medium.

Fenerbahçe averages 1.17 goals scored at home, while Anderlecht averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
29%
Draw
31%
Away Win
41%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS Yes
39%

Head-to-Head last 2

Feb 2025 Fenerbahçe(A) 2 - 2 Anderlecht Draw
Feb 2025 Fenerbahçe 3 - 0 Anderlecht Home

In the last 2 meetings, Fenerbahçe won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Fenerbahçe — unbeaten run (home)0
Fenerbahçe — scoring streak (home)2
Anderlecht — winless run (away)2
Anderlecht — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Fenerbahçe Win (1)29%
Draw (X)31%
Anderlecht Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

67% +0.5 67%
33% +1.5 33%
17% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

33% -0.5 33%
67% -1.5 67%
83% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Fenerbahçe vs Anderlecht — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Fenerbahçe — scored (home)1.17
Fenerbahçe — conceded (home)1.17
Anderlecht — scored (away)1
Anderlecht — conceded (away)1.33
Model expected combined goals1.98

Both Teams To Score

Yes39%
No61%

Rate per Team

Fenerbahçe — BTTS matches (home)50%
Anderlecht — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.584%
Under 4.516%
Over 5.584%
Under 5.516%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.584%
Under 7.516%
Over 8.567%
Under 8.533%
Over 9.567%
Under 9.533%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Fenerbahçe (home)

Corners for6.2
Corners against4.7

Anderlecht (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against6.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Fenerbahçe
5 12 5 14 6
Anderlecht
10 3 11 12 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.592%
Under 0.58%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.583%
Under 2.517%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Fenerbahçe (home)

For2.7

Anderlecht (away)

For1.6

Shots per Game

Fenerbahçe — total shots (home)11.8
Anderlecht — total shots (away)10.6

Shots on Target

Fenerbahçe — on target (home)4.2
Anderlecht — on target (away)2.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Fenerbahçe

Inside the box7.58
Outside the box3.17

Anderlecht

Inside the box7.1
Outside the box5.3

Player Shots Fenerbahçe

Talisca
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
Y. En-Nesyri
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target42%
S. Szymański
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target8%
E. Džeko
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target17%
D. Tadić
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Anderlecht

K. Dolberg
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
F. Amuzu
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target17%
A. Dreyer
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
L. Vázquez
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target10%
S. Edozie
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target20%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Fenerbahçe xG (home)1.35
Anderlecht xG (away)1.17

Average Possession

51.42% Possession 57%

Team Comparison Fenerbahçe vs Anderlecht

79.83% Pass accuracy 83.1%
477.5 Passes per match 498.1
0.39 Goals prevented -0.08
12.67 Fouls committed 10.36
4.42 Goalkeeper saves 2.36
1.67 Offsides 1.45
18.75 Tackles per match 18.3

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Fenerbahçe vs Anderlecht prediction analysis

Review Fenerbahçe vs Anderlecht with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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