Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Fenerbahçe vs FC Lugano

Fenerbahçe vs FC Lugano prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2024-07-30 17:00
Fenerbahçe
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-0
FC Lugano
Away

Prediction Summary

1
55%
X
24%
2
21%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Fenerbahçe (Home)

Goals scored / match1.5
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate100%

FC Lugano (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate100%

Team Form last 5 matches

Fenerbahçe
DLWW
FC Lugano
LL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 100%
50% +1.5 0%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
100% BTTS 100%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Low.

Fenerbahçe averages 1.5 goals scored at home, while FC Lugano averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
55%
Draw
24%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 2

Jul 2024 Fenerbahçe 2 - 1 FC Lugano Home
Jul 2024 Fenerbahçe(A) 4 - 3 FC Lugano Home

In the last 2 meetings, Fenerbahçe won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Fenerbahçe — unbeaten run (home)2
Fenerbahçe — scoring streak (home)2
FC Lugano — winless run (away)1
FC Lugano — clean sheets (away, last 1)0 of 1

1X2 Probability model

Fenerbahçe Win (1)55%
Draw (X)24%
FC Lugano Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 100%
50% +1.5 0%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 0%
50% -1.5 100%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Fenerbahçe vs FC Lugano — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Fenerbahçe — scored (home)1.5
Fenerbahçe — conceded (home)1
FC Lugano — scored (away)1
FC Lugano — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals2.75

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

Fenerbahçe — BTTS matches (home)100%
FC Lugano — BTTS matches (away)100%
Combined (simple average)100%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.5100%
Under 6.50%
Over 7.525%
Under 7.575%
Over 8.525%
Under 8.575%
Over 9.525%
Under 9.575%
Over 10.525%
Under 10.575%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Fenerbahçe (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

FC Lugano (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Fenerbahçe
6 7 5 11
FC Lugano
6 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.5100%
Under 2.50%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Fenerbahçe (home)

For—

FC Lugano (away)

For—

Shots per Game

Fenerbahçe — total shots (home)—
FC Lugano — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Fenerbahçe — on target (home)—
FC Lugano — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Fenerbahçe

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

FC Lugano

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Player Shots Fenerbahçe

E. Džeko
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target50%
A. Djiku
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
M. Yandaş
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
İ. Yüksek
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
F. Kadıoğlu
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots FC Lugano

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.

Average Possession

-% Possession -%

Team Comparison Fenerbahçe vs FC Lugano

0% Pass accuracy 0%
19 Tackles per match 13

League average xG this season is 1.5 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Fenerbahçe vs FC Lugano prediction analysis

Review Fenerbahçe vs FC Lugano with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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