Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Fenerbahçe vs Feyenoord

Fenerbahçe vs Feyenoord prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-08-12 17:00
Fenerbahçe
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
89%
Confidence
High
Score
3-1
Feyenoord
Away

Prediction Summary

1
78%
X
11%
2
11%
Over 2.5
89%
BTTS Yes
76%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Fenerbahçe (Home)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate75%

Feyenoord (Away)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match2.86
Over 2.5 rate43%
BTTS rate100%

Team Form last 5 matches

Fenerbahçe
LDWLD
Feyenoord
LWLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

75% +0.5 100%
50% +1.5 57%
25% +2.5 43%
25% +3.5 0%
25% +4.5 0%
75% BTTS 100%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 89%. Model confidence is High.

Fenerbahçe averages 2 goals scored at home, while Feyenoord averages 2 goals scored away.

Model Strength
89%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
78%
Draw
11%
Away Win
11%
Over 2.5
89%
BTTS Yes
76%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2025 Fenerbahçe 5 - 2 Feyenoord Home
Aug 2025 Fenerbahçe(A) 1 - 2 Feyenoord Away

In the last 2 meetings, Fenerbahçe won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Fenerbahçe — unbeaten run (home)4
Fenerbahçe — scoring streak (home)0
Feyenoord — winless run (away)5
Feyenoord — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Fenerbahçe Win (1)78%
Draw (X)11%
Feyenoord Win (2)11%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

75% +0.5 100%
50% +1.5 57%
25% +2.5 43%
25% +3.5 0%
25% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

25% -0.5 0%
50% -1.5 43%
75% -2.5 57%
75% -3.5 100%
75% -4.5 100%

Fenerbahçe vs Feyenoord — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Fenerbahçe — scored (home)2
Fenerbahçe — conceded (home)1
Feyenoord — scored (away)2
Feyenoord — conceded (away)2.86
Model expected combined goals5.25

Both Teams To Score

Yes76%
No24%

Rate per Team

Fenerbahçe — BTTS matches (home)75%
Feyenoord — BTTS matches (away)100%
Combined (simple average)87.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.5100%
Under 6.50%
Over 7.581%
Under 7.519%
Over 8.568%
Under 8.532%
Over 9.561%
Under 9.539%
Over 10.554%
Under 10.546%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Fenerbahçe (home)

Corners for6.5
Corners against2.5

Feyenoord (away)

Corners for2.8
Corners against7.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Fenerbahçe
11 8 12 8 5
Feyenoord
7 11 9 8 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.593%
Under 2.57%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Fenerbahçe (home)

For2.5

Feyenoord (away)

For1.5

Shots per Game

Fenerbahçe — total shots (home)12.5
Feyenoord — total shots (away)9.7

Shots on Target

Fenerbahçe — on target (home)5.5
Feyenoord — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Fenerbahçe

Inside the box7.5
Outside the box3.5

Feyenoord

Inside the box6.42
Outside the box3.92

Player Shots Fenerbahçe

E. Džeko
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target50%
A. Djiku
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
M. Yandaş
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
Y. En-Nesyri
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target33%
F. Kadıoğlu
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Feyenoord

G. Trauner
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
Hugo Bueno
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
I. Osman
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
S. Giménez
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target40%
A. Milambo
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Fenerbahçe xG (home)0
Feyenoord xG (away)1.11

Average Possession

44.5% Possession 42.25%

Team Comparison Fenerbahçe vs Feyenoord

79.75% Pass accuracy 81.5%
414.75 Passes per match 386.42
0 Goals prevented -0.17
11 Fouls committed 10
3 Goalkeeper saves 4.17
1.67 Offsides 1.67
19.88 Tackles per match 16

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Fenerbahçe vs Feyenoord prediction analysis

Review Fenerbahçe vs Feyenoord with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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