Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor

Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Süper Lig 2025-12-15 17:00
Fenerbahçe
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
61%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Konyaspor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
54%
X
22%
2
24%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Fenerbahçe (Home)

Goals scored / match2.35
Goals conceded / match1.12
Over 2.5 rate47%
BTTS rate76%

Konyaspor (Away)

Goals scored / match1.29
Goals conceded / match1.82
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate76%

Team Form last 5 matches

Fenerbahçe
DWWLD
Konyaspor
LLLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 82%
71% +1.5 35%
47% +2.5 6%
18% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
76% BTTS 76%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 61%. Model confidence is Medium.

Fenerbahçe averages 2.35 goals scored at home, while Konyaspor averages 1.29 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
54%
Draw
22%
Away Win
24%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
60%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Fenerbahçe(A) 3 - 0 Konyaspor Home
Apr 2026 Fenerbahçe(A) 0 - 1 Konyaspor Away
Dec 2025 Fenerbahçe 4 - 0 Konyaspor Home
May 2025 Fenerbahçe 2 - 1 Konyaspor Home
Jan 2025 Fenerbahçe(A) 3 - 2 Konyaspor Home

In the last 5 meetings, Fenerbahçe won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Fenerbahçe — unbeaten run (home)17
Fenerbahçe — scoring streak (home)17
Konyaspor — winless run (away)2
Konyaspor — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Fenerbahçe Win (1)54%
Draw (X)22%
Konyaspor Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 82%
71% +1.5 35%
47% +2.5 6%
18% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 18%
29% -1.5 65%
53% -2.5 94%
82% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Fenerbahçe — scored (home)2.35
Fenerbahçe — conceded (home)1.12
Konyaspor — scored (away)1.29
Konyaspor — conceded (away)1.82
Model expected combined goals3.14

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%
No40%

Rate per Team

Fenerbahçe — BTTS matches (home)76%
Konyaspor — BTTS matches (away)76%
Combined (simple average)76%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.597%
Under 5.53%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.568%
Under 8.532%
Over 9.562%
Under 9.538%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Fenerbahçe (home)

Corners for7.5
Corners against3.2

Konyaspor (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Fenerbahçe
10 10 12 8 6
Konyaspor
11 12 3 8 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.591%
Under 2.59%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Fenerbahçe (home)

For2.4

Konyaspor (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Fenerbahçe — total shots (home)19.6
Konyaspor — total shots (away)12.5

Shots on Target

Fenerbahçe — on target (home)7.0
Konyaspor — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Fenerbahçe

Inside the box10.03
Outside the box7.12

Konyaspor

Inside the box8.03
Outside the box5.03

Player Shots Fenerbahçe

Talisca
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target77%
+1.5 On Target50%
Marco Asensio
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target28%
Y. En-Nesyri
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target25%
K. Aktürkoğlu
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target24%
N. Dorgeles
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target16%

Player Shots Konyaspor

B. Kramer
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target27%
U. Nayir
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target26%
J. Muleka
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target21%
D. Aleksić
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
E. Bardhi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Fenerbahçe xG (home)1.91
Konyaspor xG (away)1.32

Average Possession

58.97% Possession 51.56%

Team Comparison Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor

84.97% Pass accuracy 80.97%
485.26 Passes per match 401.97
-0.01 Goals prevented 0.06
11.97 Fouls committed 12.59
2.38 Goalkeeper saves 2.79
1.79 Offsides 1.73
17.5 Tackles per match 15.18

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor prediction analysis

Review Fenerbahçe vs Konyaspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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