Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Fenerbahçe vs Rangers

Fenerbahçe vs Rangers prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2025-03-06 17:45
Fenerbahçe
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Rangers
Away

Prediction Summary

1
30%
X
27%
2
44%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Fenerbahçe (Home)

Goals scored / match1.17
Goals conceded / match1.17
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate50%

Rangers (Away)

Goals scored / match1.83
Goals conceded / match1.17
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate67%

Team Form last 5 matches

Fenerbahçe
WLDWD
Rangers
LDLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

67% +0.5 83%
33% +1.5 50%
17% +2.5 33%
0% +3.5 17%
0% +4.5 0%
50% BTTS 67%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Fenerbahçe averages 1.17 goals scored at home, while Rangers averages 1.83 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
30%
Draw
27%
Away Win
44%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
50%

Head-to-Head last 2

Mar 2025 Fenerbahçe(A) 2 - 0 Rangers Home
Mar 2025 Fenerbahçe 1 - 3 Rangers Away

In the last 2 meetings, Fenerbahçe won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Fenerbahçe — unbeaten run (home)0
Fenerbahçe — scoring streak (home)2
Rangers — winless run (away)1
Rangers — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Fenerbahçe Win (1)30%
Draw (X)27%
Rangers Win (2)44%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

67% +0.5 83%
33% +1.5 50%
17% +2.5 33%
0% +3.5 17%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

33% -0.5 17%
67% -1.5 50%
83% -2.5 67%
100% -3.5 83%
100% -4.5 100%

Fenerbahçe vs Rangers — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Fenerbahçe — scored (home)1.17
Fenerbahçe — conceded (home)1.17
Rangers — scored (away)1.83
Rangers — conceded (away)1.17
Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%
No50%

Rate per Team

Fenerbahçe — BTTS matches (home)50%
Rangers — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)58.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.5100%
Under 6.50%
Over 7.5100%
Under 7.50%
Over 8.567%
Under 8.533%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Fenerbahçe (home)

Corners for6.2
Corners against4.7

Rangers (away)

Corners for3.2
Corners against6.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Fenerbahçe
5 12 5 14 6
Rangers
7 14 6 11 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.575%
Under 2.525%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Fenerbahçe (home)

For2.7

Rangers (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Fenerbahçe — total shots (home)11.8
Rangers — total shots (away)11.3

Shots on Target

Fenerbahçe — on target (home)4.2
Rangers — on target (away)5.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Fenerbahçe

Inside the box7.58
Outside the box3.17

Rangers

Inside the box8.08
Outside the box5.33

Player Shots Fenerbahçe

Talisca
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
Y. En-Nesyri
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target42%
S. Szymański
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target8%
E. Džeko
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target17%
D. Tadić
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Rangers

V. Černý
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target33%
T. Lawrence
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
C. Dessers
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
H. Igamane
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target20%
R. Yılmaz
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Fenerbahçe xG (home)1.35
Rangers xG (away)1.49

Average Possession

51.42% Possession 41.08%

Team Comparison Fenerbahçe vs Rangers

79.83% Pass accuracy 76.17%
477.5 Passes per match 374.83
0.39 Goals prevented 0.08
12.67 Fouls committed 13.17
4.42 Goalkeeper saves 2.5
1.67 Offsides 1.83
18.75 Tackles per match 18.08

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Fenerbahçe vs Rangers prediction analysis

Review Fenerbahçe vs Rangers with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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