Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Ferencvarosi TC vs Ludogorets

Ferencvarosi TC vs Ludogorets prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-08-12 18:15
Ferencvarosi TC
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
68%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-1
Ludogorets
Away

Prediction Summary

1
56%
X
20%
2
23%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS Yes
65%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Ferencvarosi TC (Home)

Goals scored / match2.67
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate67%
BTTS rate67%

Ludogorets (Away)

Goals scored / match0.67
Goals conceded / match1.67
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate33%

Team Form last 5 matches

Ferencvarosi TC
WLWDW
Ludogorets
LDWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 33%
67% +1.5 33%
67% +2.5 0%
33% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
67% BTTS 33%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 68%. Model confidence is Medium.

Ferencvarosi TC averages 2.67 goals scored at home, while Ludogorets averages 0.67 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
56%
Draw
20%
Away Win
23%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS Yes
65%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Ferencvarosi TC 2 - 0 Ludogorets Home
Feb 2026 Ferencvarosi TC(A) 1 - 2 Ludogorets Away
Nov 2025 Ferencvarosi TC 3 - 1 Ludogorets Home
Aug 2025 Ferencvarosi TC 3 - 0 Ludogorets Home
Aug 2025 Ferencvarosi TC(A) 0 - 0 Ludogorets Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Ferencvarosi TC won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Ferencvarosi TC — unbeaten run (home)0
Ferencvarosi TC — scoring streak (home)3
Ludogorets — winless run (away)3
Ludogorets — clean sheets (away, last 3)1 of 3

1X2 Probability model

Ferencvarosi TC Win (1)56%
Draw (X)20%
Ludogorets Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 33%
67% +1.5 33%
67% +2.5 0%
33% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 67%
33% -1.5 67%
33% -2.5 100%
67% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Ferencvarosi TC vs Ludogorets — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Ferencvarosi TC — scored (home)2.67
Ferencvarosi TC — conceded (home)2
Ludogorets — scored (away)0.67
Ludogorets — conceded (away)1.67
Model expected combined goals3.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes65%
No35%

Rate per Team

Ferencvarosi TC — BTTS matches (home)67%
Ludogorets — BTTS matches (away)33%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.584%
Under 4.516%
Over 5.584%
Under 5.516%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.567%
Under 7.533%
Over 8.567%
Under 8.533%
Over 9.50%
Under 9.5100%
Over 10.50%
Under 10.5100%
Expected total corners (blended average)7.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Ferencvarosi TC (home)

Corners for4.0
Corners against2.7

Ludogorets (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Ferencvarosi TC
4 11 9 7 3
Ludogorets
11 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.5100%
Under 2.50%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Ferencvarosi TC (home)

For2.3

Ludogorets (away)

For4.0

Shots per Game

Ferencvarosi TC — total shots (home)14.0
Ludogorets — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

Ferencvarosi TC — on target (home)5.3
Ludogorets — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Ferencvarosi TC

Inside the box10.17
Outside the box4.17

Ludogorets

Inside the box7
Outside the box3.5

Player Shots Ferencvarosi TC

B. Varga
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target83%
+1.5 On Target33%
L. Joseph
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target83%
+1.5 On Target33%
A. Pešić
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target0%
B. Ötvös
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
K. Zachariassen
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Ludogorets

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Ferencvarosi TC xG (home)0
Ludogorets xG (away)0

Average Possession

49.17% Possession 50%

Team Comparison Ferencvarosi TC vs Ludogorets

79.33% Pass accuracy 79.5%
360.5 Passes per match 357
0 Goals prevented 0
15.67 Fouls committed 13
2 Goalkeeper saves 2.5
1.5 Offsides 1
16.83 Tackles per match 16

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Ferencvarosi TC vs Ludogorets prediction analysis

Review Ferencvarosi TC vs Ludogorets with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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