Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Ferencvarosi TC vs Malmo FF

Ferencvarosi TC vs Malmo FF prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2024-11-28 20:00
Ferencvarosi TC
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Malmo FF
Away

Prediction Summary

1
46%
X
26%
2
28%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Ferencvarosi TC (Home)

Goals scored / match1.83
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate50%

Malmo FF (Away)

Goals scored / match1.5
Goals conceded / match2.25
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate100%

Team Form last 5 matches

Ferencvarosi TC
LWWLL
Malmo FF
DLDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

83% +0.5 100%
33% +1.5 50%
33% +2.5 0%
33% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
50% BTTS 100%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

Ferencvarosi TC averages 1.83 goals scored at home, while Malmo FF averages 1.5 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
46%
Draw
26%
Away Win
28%
Over 2.5
47%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 1

Nov 2024 Ferencvarosi TC 4 - 1 Malmo FF Home

In the last 1 meetings, Ferencvarosi TC won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Ferencvarosi TC — unbeaten run (home)4
Ferencvarosi TC — scoring streak (home)5
Malmo FF — winless run (away)3
Malmo FF — clean sheets (away, last 4)0 of 4

1X2 Probability model

Ferencvarosi TC Win (1)46%
Draw (X)26%
Malmo FF Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

83% +0.5 100%
33% +1.5 50%
33% +2.5 0%
33% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

17% -0.5 0%
67% -1.5 50%
67% -2.5 100%
67% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Ferencvarosi TC vs Malmo FF — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Ferencvarosi TC — scored (home)1.83
Ferencvarosi TC — conceded (home)1
Malmo FF — scored (away)1.5
Malmo FF — conceded (away)2.25
Model expected combined goals2.54

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Ferencvarosi TC — BTTS matches (home)50%
Malmo FF — BTTS matches (away)100%
Combined (simple average)75%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.571%
Under 4.529%
Over 5.559%
Under 5.541%
Over 6.559%
Under 6.541%
Over 7.559%
Under 7.541%
Over 8.538%
Under 8.562%
Over 9.538%
Under 9.562%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Ferencvarosi TC (home)

Corners for3.8
Corners against6.8

Malmo FF (away)

Corners for2.8
Corners against4.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Ferencvarosi TC
5 9 10 16 9
Malmo FF
5 4 10 16 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.584%
Under 1.516%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Ferencvarosi TC (home)

For1.3

Malmo FF (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Ferencvarosi TC — total shots (home)12.4
Malmo FF — total shots (away)12.5

Shots on Target

Ferencvarosi TC — on target (home)5.0
Malmo FF — on target (away)6.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Ferencvarosi TC

Inside the box7.6
Outside the box4.3

Malmo FF

Inside the box8.75
Outside the box4.38

Player Shots Ferencvarosi TC

M. Ben Romdhane
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
Kady
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
B. Varga
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target38%
M. Abu Fani
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%
A. Traoré
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Malmo FF

H. Bolin
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
E. Botheim
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target25%
I. Kiese Thelin
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
T. Ali
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
L. Johnsen
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Ferencvarosi TC xG (home)1.14
Malmo FF xG (away)1.5

Average Possession

45.55% Possession 53%

Team Comparison Ferencvarosi TC vs Malmo FF

79.5% Pass accuracy 80.5%
373.1 Passes per match 458.25
-0.35 Goals prevented -0.31
13.64 Fouls committed 11.5
3.09 Goalkeeper saves 2.5
1.55 Offsides 1.71
17.7 Tackles per match 15.63

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Ferencvarosi TC vs Malmo FF prediction analysis

Review Ferencvarosi TC vs Malmo FF with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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