Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Ferencvarosi TC vs Qarabag

Ferencvarosi TC vs Qarabag prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-08-19 19:00
Ferencvarosi TC
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
79%
Confidence
High
Score
2-1
Qarabag
Away

Prediction Summary

1
51%
X
19%
2
29%
Over 2.5
79%
BTTS Yes
76%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Ferencvarosi TC (Home)

Goals scored / match2.67
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate67%
BTTS rate67%

Qarabag (Away)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match2.13
Over 2.5 rate38%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Ferencvarosi TC
WLWDW
Qarabag
LLLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 75%
67% +1.5 50%
67% +2.5 38%
33% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
67% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 79%. Model confidence is High.

Ferencvarosi TC averages 2.67 goals scored at home, while Qarabag averages 1.63 goals scored away.

Model Strength
79%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
51%
Draw
19%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
79%
BTTS Yes
76%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jul 2026 Ferencvarosi TC 1 - 0 Qarabag Home
Aug 2025 Ferencvarosi TC(A) 3 - 2 Qarabag Home
Aug 2025 Ferencvarosi TC 1 - 3 Qarabag Away
Aug 2022 Ferencvarosi TC 1 - 3 Qarabag Away
Aug 2022 Ferencvarosi TC(A) 1 - 1 Qarabag Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Ferencvarosi TC won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Ferencvarosi TC — unbeaten run (home)0
Ferencvarosi TC — scoring streak (home)3
Qarabag — winless run (away)4
Qarabag — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Ferencvarosi TC Win (1)51%
Draw (X)19%
Qarabag Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 75%
67% +1.5 50%
67% +2.5 38%
33% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 25%
33% -1.5 50%
33% -2.5 62%
67% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Ferencvarosi TC vs Qarabag — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Ferencvarosi TC — scored (home)2.67
Ferencvarosi TC — conceded (home)2
Qarabag — scored (away)1.63
Qarabag — conceded (away)2.13
Model expected combined goals4.21

Both Teams To Score

Yes76%
No24%

Rate per Team

Ferencvarosi TC — BTTS matches (home)67%
Qarabag — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)58.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.584%
Under 4.516%
Over 5.584%
Under 5.516%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.558%
Under 7.542%
Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.542%
Under 9.558%
Over 10.534%
Under 10.566%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Ferencvarosi TC (home)

Corners for4.0
Corners against2.7

Qarabag (away)

Corners for3.3
Corners against8.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Ferencvarosi TC
4 11 9 7 3
Qarabag
10 8 15 14 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.584%
Under 0.516%
Over 1.567%
Under 1.533%
Over 2.567%
Under 2.533%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Ferencvarosi TC (home)

For2.3

Qarabag (away)

For1.3

Shots per Game

Ferencvarosi TC — total shots (home)14.0
Qarabag — total shots (away)9.8

Shots on Target

Ferencvarosi TC — on target (home)5.3
Qarabag — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Ferencvarosi TC

Inside the box10.17
Outside the box4.17

Qarabag

Inside the box6.25
Outside the box4.08

Player Shots Ferencvarosi TC

B. Varga
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target83%
+1.5 On Target33%
L. Joseph
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target83%
+1.5 On Target33%
A. Pešić
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target0%
B. Ötvös
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
K. Zachariassen
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Qarabag

C. Durán
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target30%
Leandro Andrade
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target0%
O. Kashchuk
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target0%
E. Addai
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target8%
Joni Montiel
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Ferencvarosi TC xG (home)0
Qarabag xG (away)1.09

Average Possession

49.17% Possession 45.25%

Team Comparison Ferencvarosi TC vs Qarabag

79.33% Pass accuracy 80.33%
360.5 Passes per match 389.08
0 Goals prevented -0.34
15.67 Fouls committed 7.17
2 Goalkeeper saves 4.08
1.5 Offsides 1.25
16.83 Tackles per match 14.58

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Ferencvarosi TC vs Qarabag prediction analysis

Review Ferencvarosi TC vs Qarabag with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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