Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Feyenoord vs Aston Villa

Feyenoord vs Aston Villa prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2025-10-02 19:00
Feyenoord
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Aston Villa
Away

Prediction Summary

1
29%
X
25%
2
46%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Feyenoord (Home)

Goals scored / match1.75
Goals conceded / match1.5
Over 2.5 rate50%
BTTS rate50%

Aston Villa (Away)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match0.63
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate38%

Team Form last 5 matches

Feyenoord
LWLLL
Aston Villa
WWLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

75% +0.5 88%
50% +1.5 50%
50% +2.5 25%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
50% BTTS 38%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Low.

Feyenoord averages 1.75 goals scored at home, while Aston Villa averages 1.63 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
29%
Draw
25%
Away Win
46%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 1

Oct 2025 Feyenoord 0 - 2 Aston Villa Away

In the last 1 meetings, Feyenoord won 0, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Feyenoord — unbeaten run (home)1
Feyenoord — scoring streak (home)3
Aston Villa — winless run (away)0
Aston Villa — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Feyenoord Win (1)29%
Draw (X)25%
Aston Villa Win (2)46%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

75% +0.5 88%
50% +1.5 50%
50% +2.5 25%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

25% -0.5 12%
50% -1.5 50%
50% -2.5 75%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Feyenoord vs Aston Villa — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Feyenoord — scored (home)1.75
Feyenoord — conceded (home)1.5
Aston Villa — scored (away)1.63
Aston Villa — conceded (away)0.63
Model expected combined goals2.75

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

Feyenoord — BTTS matches (home)50%
Aston Villa — BTTS matches (away)38%
Combined (simple average)44%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.575%
Under 6.525%
Over 7.557%
Under 7.543%
Over 8.544%
Under 8.556%
Over 9.519%
Under 9.581%
Over 10.513%
Under 10.587%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Feyenoord (home)

Corners for5.5
Corners against1.8

Aston Villa (away)

Corners for5.0
Corners against3.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Feyenoord
7 8 7 7 6
Aston Villa
7 6 12 9 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Feyenoord (home)

For1.8

Aston Villa (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Feyenoord — total shots (home)17.3
Aston Villa — total shots (away)10.9

Shots on Target

Feyenoord — on target (home)6.5
Aston Villa — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Feyenoord

Inside the box9
Outside the box5.25

Aston Villa

Inside the box8.6
Outside the box3.73

Player Shots Feyenoord

A. Hadj-Moussa
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target25%
C. Larin
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target14%
C. Tengstedt
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
A. Ueda
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
S. Steijn
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%

Player Shots Aston Villa

D. Malen
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target33%
O. Watkins
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target20%
M. Rogers
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target20%
E. Guessand
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
J. McGinn
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Feyenoord xG (home)1.54
Aston Villa xG (away)1.66

Average Possession

49.5% Possession 53.47%

Team Comparison Feyenoord vs Aston Villa

84.38% Pass accuracy 85.27%
426.25 Passes per match 452.73
-0.08 Goals prevented 0.14
14.38 Fouls committed 11.47
2 Goalkeeper saves 3.73
2.25 Offsides 1.13
17.5 Tackles per match 13.6

League average xG this season is 1.39 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Feyenoord vs Aston Villa prediction analysis

Review Feyenoord vs Aston Villa with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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