Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Feyenoord vs Fenerbahçe

Feyenoord vs Fenerbahçe prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-08-06 19:00
Feyenoord
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Fenerbahçe
Away

Prediction Summary

1
61%
X
23%
2
16%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS No
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Feyenoord (Home)

Goals scored / match1.57
Goals conceded / match1.71
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate43%

Fenerbahçe (Away)

Goals scored / match1.5
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate75%

Team Form last 5 matches

Feyenoord
LWLLD
Fenerbahçe
LDWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

71% +0.5 75%
43% +1.5 25%
29% +2.5 25%
14% +3.5 25%
0% +4.5 0%
43% BTTS 75%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Medium.

Feyenoord averages 1.57 goals scored at home, while Fenerbahçe averages 1.5 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
61%
Draw
23%
Away Win
16%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
44%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2025 Feyenoord(A) 2 - 5 Fenerbahçe Away
Aug 2025 Feyenoord 2 - 1 Fenerbahçe Home

In the last 2 meetings, Feyenoord won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Feyenoord — unbeaten run (home)1
Feyenoord — scoring streak (home)1
Fenerbahçe — winless run (away)3
Fenerbahçe — clean sheets (away, last 4)0 of 4

1X2 Probability model

Feyenoord Win (1)61%
Draw (X)23%
Fenerbahçe Win (2)16%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

71% +0.5 75%
43% +1.5 25%
29% +2.5 25%
14% +3.5 25%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

29% -0.5 25%
57% -1.5 75%
71% -2.5 75%
86% -3.5 75%
100% -4.5 100%

Feyenoord vs Fenerbahçe — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Feyenoord — scored (home)1.57
Feyenoord — conceded (home)1.71
Fenerbahçe — scored (away)1.5
Fenerbahçe — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%
No56%

Rate per Team

Feyenoord — BTTS matches (home)43%
Fenerbahçe — BTTS matches (away)75%
Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.575%
Under 5.525%
Over 6.563%
Under 6.537%
Over 7.556%
Under 7.544%
Over 8.529%
Under 8.571%
Over 9.529%
Under 9.571%
Over 10.522%
Under 10.578%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Feyenoord (home)

Corners for4.7
Corners against5.5

Fenerbahçe (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against2.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Feyenoord
7 11 9 8 12
Fenerbahçe
11 8 12 8 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.593%
Under 1.57%
Over 2.593%
Under 2.57%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Feyenoord (home)

For1.5

Fenerbahçe (away)

For3.0

Shots per Game

Feyenoord — total shots (home)11.0
Fenerbahçe — total shots (away)9.5

Shots on Target

Feyenoord — on target (home)4.3
Fenerbahçe — on target (away)5.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Feyenoord

Inside the box6.42
Outside the box3.92

Fenerbahçe

Inside the box7.5
Outside the box3.5

Player Shots Feyenoord

G. Trauner
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
Hugo Bueno
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
I. Osman
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
S. Giménez
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target40%
A. Milambo
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Fenerbahçe

E. Džeko
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target50%
A. Djiku
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
M. Yandaş
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
Y. En-Nesyri
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target33%
F. Kadıoğlu
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Feyenoord xG (home)1.11
Fenerbahçe xG (away)0

Average Possession

42.25% Possession 44.5%

Team Comparison Feyenoord vs Fenerbahçe

81.5% Pass accuracy 79.75%
386.42 Passes per match 414.75
-0.17 Goals prevented 0
10 Fouls committed 11
4.17 Goalkeeper saves 3
1.67 Offsides 1.67
16 Tackles per match 19.88

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Feyenoord vs Fenerbahçe prediction analysis

Review Feyenoord vs Fenerbahçe with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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