Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Feyenoord vs Sparta Praha

Feyenoord vs Sparta Praha prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2024-12-11 20:00
Feyenoord
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
63%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Sparta Praha
Away

Prediction Summary

1
35%
X
23%
2
42%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
65%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Feyenoord (Home)

Goals scored / match1.5
Goals conceded / match1.83
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate33%

Sparta Praha (Away)

Goals scored / match1.43
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate14%
BTTS rate43%

Team Form last 5 matches

Feyenoord
LLDWL
Sparta Praha
LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

67% +0.5 71%
33% +1.5 57%
33% +2.5 14%
17% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
33% BTTS 43%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 63%. Model confidence is Medium.

Feyenoord averages 1.5 goals scored at home, while Sparta Praha averages 1.43 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
35%
Draw
23%
Away Win
42%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
65%

Head-to-Head last 1

Dec 2024 Feyenoord 4 - 2 Sparta Praha Home

In the last 1 meetings, Feyenoord won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Feyenoord — unbeaten run (home)0
Feyenoord — scoring streak (home)0
Sparta Praha — winless run (away)4
Sparta Praha — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Feyenoord Win (1)35%
Draw (X)23%
Sparta Praha Win (2)42%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

67% +0.5 71%
33% +1.5 57%
33% +2.5 14%
17% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

33% -0.5 29%
67% -1.5 43%
67% -2.5 86%
83% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Feyenoord vs Sparta Praha — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Feyenoord — scored (home)1.5
Feyenoord — conceded (home)1.83
Sparta Praha — scored (away)1.43
Sparta Praha — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals3.27

Both Teams To Score

Yes65%
No35%

Rate per Team

Feyenoord — BTTS matches (home)33%
Sparta Praha — BTTS matches (away)43%
Combined (simple average)38%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%
Under 4.510%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.564%
Under 8.536%
Over 9.564%
Under 9.536%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Feyenoord (home)

Corners for4.7
Corners against5.5

Sparta Praha (away)

Corners for2.0
Corners against6.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Feyenoord
12 11 7 11 9
Sparta Praha
9 6 10 7 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.572%
Under 2.528%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Feyenoord (home)

For1.5

Sparta Praha (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Feyenoord — total shots (home)11.0
Sparta Praha — total shots (away)11.4

Shots on Target

Feyenoord — on target (home)4.3
Sparta Praha — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Feyenoord

Inside the box6.42
Outside the box3.92

Sparta Praha

Inside the box6.2
Outside the box3.9

Player Shots Feyenoord

G. Trauner
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
Hugo Bueno
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
I. Osman
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
S. Giménez
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target40%
A. Milambo
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Sparta Praha

L. Haraslín
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target25%
M. Ryneš
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
V. Birmančević
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
A. Preciado
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%
F. Panák
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Feyenoord xG (home)1.11
Sparta Praha xG (away)0.77

Average Possession

42.25% Possession 33.9%

Team Comparison Feyenoord vs Sparta Praha

81.5% Pass accuracy 72.8%
386.42 Passes per match 309.3
-0.17 Goals prevented -0.09
10 Fouls committed 10.3
4.17 Goalkeeper saves 4.8
1.67 Offsides 1.4
15.83 Tackles per match 15.2

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Feyenoord vs Sparta Praha prediction analysis

Review Feyenoord vs Sparta Praha with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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