What markets are included in the Fiorentina vs Cremonese prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Fiorentina vs Cremonese prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Fiorentina vs Cremonese

Fiorentina vs Cremonese prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2026-01-04 14:00

Fiorentina

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

49%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Cremonese

Away

Prediction Summary

34%

26%

40%

Under 2.5

51%

BTTS Yes

53%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Fiorentina (Home)

Goals scored / match1.11

Goals conceded / match1.11

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate63%

Cremonese (Away)

Goals scored / match0.74

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate32%

Team Form last 5 matches

Fiorentina

DWDLD

Cremonese

LWWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 47%

16% +1.5 21%

5% +2.5 5%

5% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

63% BTTS 32%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Low.

Fiorentina averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while Cremonese averages 0.74 goals scored away.

Model Strength

53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

34%

Draw

26%

Away Win

40%

Over 2.5

49%

BTTS Yes

53%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Fiorentina(A) 4 - 1 Cremonese Home

Jan 2026 Fiorentina 1 - 0 Cremonese Home

Apr 2023 Fiorentina 0 - 0 Cremonese Draw

Apr 2023 Fiorentina(A) 2 - 0 Cremonese Home

Mar 2023 Fiorentina(A) 2 - 0 Cremonese Home

In the last 5 meetings, Fiorentina won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Fiorentina — unbeaten run (home)8

Fiorentina — scoring streak (home)1

Cremonese — winless run (away)0

Cremonese — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Fiorentina Win (1)34%

Draw (X)26%

Cremonese Win (2)40%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 47%

16% +1.5 21%

5% +2.5 5%

5% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 53%

84% -1.5 79%

95% -2.5 95%

95% -3.5 100%

95% -4.5 100%

Fiorentina vs Cremonese — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Fiorentina — scored (home)1.11

Fiorentina — conceded (home)1.11

Cremonese — scored (away)0.74

Cremonese — conceded (away)1.47

Model expected combined goals2.63

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%

No47%

Rate per Team

Fiorentina — BTTS matches (home)63%

Cremonese — BTTS matches (away)32%

Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.589%

Under 6.511%

Over 7.579%

Under 7.521%

Over 8.564%

Under 8.536%

Over 9.558%

Under 9.542%

Over 10.542%

Under 10.558%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Fiorentina (home)

Corners for5.5

Corners against4.0

Cremonese (away)

Corners for3.4

Corners against6.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Fiorentina

11 9 7 8 6

Cremonese

12 6 8 10 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.592%

Under 0.58%

Over 1.589%

Under 1.511%

Over 2.571%

Under 2.529%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Fiorentina (home)

For2.4

Cremonese (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Fiorentina — total shots (home)15.7

Cremonese — total shots (away)7.9

Shots on Target

Fiorentina — on target (home)4.1

Cremonese — on target (away)2.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Fiorentina

Inside the box8.05

Outside the box4.82

Cremonese

Inside the box5.53

Outside the box3.58

Player Shots Fiorentina

M. Kean

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target27%

R. Mandragora

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target3%

R. Piccoli

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target9%

A. Guðmundsson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target9%

F. Parisi

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Cremonese

F. Bonazzoli

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target26%

D. Okereke

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target10%

J. Vardy

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target7%

M. Đurić

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target0%

M. Thorsby

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Fiorentina xG (home)1.4

Cremonese xG (away)0.93

Average Possession

50.97% Possession 46.5%

Team Comparison Fiorentina vs Cremonese

83.89% Pass accuracy 77.82%

423.61 Passes per match 385.47

0.06 Goals prevented 0.17

12.5 Fouls committed 13.53

3.34 Goalkeeper saves 3.68

1.94 Offsides 1.73

12.26 Tackles per match 14.32

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Fiorentina vs Cremonese prediction analysis

Review Fiorentina vs Cremonese with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights