Prediction Analysis: Fiorentina vs Hellas Verona
Fiorentina vs Hellas Verona prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Serie A
2024-11-10
14:00
Fiorentina
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
66%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-1
Hellas Verona
Away
Prediction Summary
1
64%
X
19%
2
17%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Fiorentina (Home)
Goals scored / match1.68
Goals conceded / match0.95
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate53%
Hellas Verona (Away)
Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.58
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate47%
Team Form last 5 matches
Fiorentina
WWLLW
Hellas Verona
WDDLL
Goals Comparison rate per team
79%
+0.5
63%
53%
+1.5
26%
26%
+2.5
11%
5%
+3.5
0%
5%
+4.5
0%
53%
BTTS
47%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 66%. Model confidence is Medium.
Fiorentina averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Hellas Verona averages 1 goals scored away.
Model Strength
66%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
64%
Draw
19%
Away Win
17%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS Yes
60%
Head-to-Head last 5
Apr 2026
Fiorentina(A)
1 - 0
Hellas Verona
Home
Dec 2025
Fiorentina
1 - 2
Hellas Verona
Away
Feb 2025
Fiorentina(A)
0 - 1
Hellas Verona
Away
Nov 2024
Fiorentina
3 - 1
Hellas Verona
Home
May 2024
Fiorentina(A)
1 - 2
Hellas Verona
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Fiorentina won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.
Current Streaks
Fiorentina — unbeaten run (home)6
Fiorentina — scoring streak (home)2
Hellas Verona — winless run (away)0
Hellas Verona — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Fiorentina Win (1)64%
Draw (X)19%
Hellas Verona Win (2)17%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
79%
+0.5
63%
53%
+1.5
26%
26%
+2.5
11%
5%
+3.5
0%
5%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
21%
-0.5
37%
47%
-1.5
74%
74%
-2.5
89%
95%
-3.5
100%
95%
-4.5
100%
Fiorentina vs Hellas Verona — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Fiorentina — scored (home)1.68
Fiorentina — conceded (home)0.95
Hellas Verona — scored (away)1
Hellas Verona — conceded (away)1.58
Model expected combined goals3.4
Both Teams To Score
Yes60%
No40%
Rate per Team
Fiorentina — BTTS matches (home)53%
Hellas Verona — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)50%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.589%
Under 4.511%
Over 5.589%
Under 5.511%
Over 6.573%
Under 6.527%
Over 7.551%
Under 7.549%
Over 8.546%
Under 8.554%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.80
Per-Team Corners own matches
Fiorentina (home)
Corners for4.2
Corners against3.8
Hellas Verona (away)
Corners for3.2
Corners against6.4
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Fiorentina
7
11
6
6
10
Hellas Verona
5
7
9
10
14
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.581%
Under 2.519%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4
Yellow Cards per Team
Fiorentina (home)
For2.1
Hellas Verona (away)
For2.6
Shots per Game
Fiorentina — total shots (home)11.7
Hellas Verona — total shots (away)8.8
Shots on Target
Fiorentina — on target (home)4.6
Hellas Verona — on target (away)2.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Fiorentina
Inside the box7.41
Outside the box4.38
Hellas Verona
Inside the box6.18
Outside the box3.66
Player Shots Fiorentina
M. Kean
Shots on Target/Game2.2
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target38%
C. Biraghi
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Ranieri
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target6%
R. Mandragora
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target10%
A. Guðmundsson
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target17%
Player Shots Hellas Verona
D. Mosquera
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target9%
D. Ghilardi
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target4%
T. Suslov
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target3%
S. Serdar
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target5%
C. Tengstedt
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target4%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Fiorentina xG (home)1.31
Hellas Verona xG (away)0.91
Average Possession
51.11%
Possession
38.47%
Team Comparison Fiorentina vs Hellas Verona
82.78%
Pass accuracy
74.21%
427.43
Passes per match
318.58
0.04
Goals prevented
0.01
11.59
Fouls committed
15.24
2.89
Goalkeeper saves
2.95
2.3
Offsides
1.57
13.95
Tackles per match
17.71
League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Fiorentina vs Hellas Verona prediction analysis
Review Fiorentina vs Hellas Verona with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights