What markets are included in the Fiorentina vs Parma prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Fiorentina vs Parma prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Fiorentina vs Parma

Fiorentina vs Parma prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-04-13 13:00

Fiorentina

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

47%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-0

Parma

Away

Prediction Summary

55%

25%

21%

Under 2.5

53%

BTTS No

52%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Fiorentina (Home)

Goals scored / match1.68

Goals conceded / match0.95

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate53%

Parma (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.58

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Fiorentina

WWLLW

Parma

WDLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 63%

53% +1.5 32%

26% +2.5 5%

5% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Low.

Fiorentina averages 1.68 goals scored at home, while Parma averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

55%

Draw

25%

Away Win

21%

Over 2.5

47%

BTTS Yes

48%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Fiorentina 0 - 0 Parma Draw

Dec 2025 Fiorentina(A) 0 - 1 Parma Away

Apr 2025 Fiorentina 0 - 0 Parma Draw

Aug 2024 Fiorentina(A) 1 - 1 Parma Draw

Dec 2023 Fiorentina 2 - 2 Parma Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Fiorentina won 0, drew 4 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Fiorentina — unbeaten run (home)6

Fiorentina — scoring streak (home)2

Parma — winless run (away)0

Parma — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Fiorentina Win (1)55%

Draw (X)25%

Parma Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 63%

53% +1.5 32%

26% +2.5 5%

5% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 37%

47% -1.5 68%

74% -2.5 95%

95% -3.5 100%

95% -4.5 100%

Fiorentina vs Parma — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Fiorentina — scored (home)1.68

Fiorentina — conceded (home)0.95

Parma — scored (away)1

Parma — conceded (away)1.58

Model expected combined goals2.55

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%

No52%

Rate per Team

Fiorentina — BTTS matches (home)53%

Parma — BTTS matches (away)63%

Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.589%

Under 4.511%

Over 5.589%

Under 5.511%

Over 6.578%

Under 6.522%

Over 7.562%

Under 7.538%

Over 8.559%

Under 8.541%

Over 9.554%

Under 9.546%

Over 10.543%

Under 10.557%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Fiorentina (home)

Corners for4.2

Corners against3.8

Parma (away)

Corners for4.8

Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Fiorentina

7 11 6 6 10

Parma

6 10 4 5 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.581%

Under 2.519%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Fiorentina (home)

For2.1

Parma (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Fiorentina — total shots (home)11.7

Parma — total shots (away)10.7

Shots on Target

Fiorentina — on target (home)4.6

Parma — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Fiorentina

Inside the box7.41

Outside the box4.38

Parma

Inside the box6.61

Outside the box4.58

Player Shots Fiorentina

M. Kean

Shots on Target/Game2.2

+0.5 On Target72%

+1.5 On Target38%

C. Biraghi

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target13%

L. Ranieri

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target8%

+1.5 On Target6%

R. Mandragora

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target10%

A. Guðmundsson

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots Parma

M. Keita

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target7%

J. Ondrejka

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

D. Camara

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target5%

S. Sohm

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target8%

Mateo Pellegrino

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target23%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Fiorentina xG (home)1.31

Parma xG (away)1.18

Average Possession

51.11% Possession 44.13%

Team Comparison Fiorentina vs Parma

82.78% Pass accuracy 79.68%

427.43 Passes per match 383

0.04 Goals prevented -0.14

11.59 Fouls committed 10.66

2.89 Goalkeeper saves 2.74

2.3 Offsides 0.82

13.95 Tackles per match 13.76

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Fiorentina vs Parma prediction analysis

Review Fiorentina vs Parma with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights