Prediction Analysis: Fiorentina vs Torino
Fiorentina vs Torino prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Serie A
2026-09-06
16:30
Fiorentina
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
44%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Torino
Away
Prediction Summary
1
47%
X
27%
2
26%
+2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS
48%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Fiorentina (Home)
Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate63%
Torino (Away)
Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.79
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate37%
Team Form last 5 matches
Fiorentina
DWDLD
Torino
DLWLD
Goals Comparison rate per team
79%
+0.5
58%
16%
+1.5
21%
5%
+2.5
11%
5%
+3.5
0%
5%
+4.5
0%
63%
BTTS
37%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.
Fiorentina averages 1.11 goals scored at home, while Torino averages 0.89 goals scored away.
Model Strength
56%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
47%
Draw
27%
Away Win
26%
Over 2.5
44%
BTTS Yes
48%
Head-to-Head last 5
Feb 2026
Fiorentina
2 - 2
Torino
Draw
Aug 2025
Fiorentina(A)
0 - 0
Torino
Draw
Jan 2025
Fiorentina
1 - 1
Torino
Draw
Nov 2024
Fiorentina(A)
1 - 0
Torino
Home
Mar 2024
Fiorentina(A)
0 - 0
Torino
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, Fiorentina won 1, drew 4 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Fiorentina — unbeaten run (home)8
Fiorentina — scoring streak (home)1
Torino — winless run (away)3
Torino — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Fiorentina Win (1)47%
Draw (X)27%
Torino Win (2)26%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
79%
+0.5
58%
16%
+1.5
21%
5%
+2.5
11%
5%
+3.5
0%
5%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
21%
-0.5
42%
84%
-1.5
79%
95%
-2.5
89%
95%
-3.5
100%
95%
-4.5
100%
Fiorentina vs Torino — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Fiorentina — scored (home)1.11
Fiorentina — conceded (home)1.11
Torino — scored (away)0.89
Torino — conceded (away)1.79
Model expected combined goals2.45
Both Teams To Score
Yes48%
No52%
Rate per Team
Fiorentina — BTTS matches (home)63%
Torino — BTTS matches (away)37%
Combined (simple average)50%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
Fiorentina (home)
Corners for5.5
Corners against4.0
Torino (away)
Corners for3.4
Corners against4.7
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Fiorentina
11
9
7
8
6
Torino
10
7
12
6
12
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.592%
Under 0.58%
Over 1.582%
Under 1.518%
Over 2.569%
Under 2.531%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9
Yellow Cards per Team
Fiorentina (home)
For2.4
Torino (away)
For2.1
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.571%
Under 19.529%
Over 22.557%
Under 22.543%
Over 25.544%
Under 25.556%
Expected total shots24.93
Fiorentina
Shots Over 9.580%
Shots Over 11.566%
Shots Over 13.551%
Expected shots14.20
On Target Over 3.563%
On Target Over 4.546%
On Target Over 5.531%
Expected on target4.53
Torino
Shots Over 9.557%
Shots Over 11.539%
Shots Over 13.525%
Expected shots10.74
On Target Over 3.547%
On Target Over 4.530%
On Target Over 5.517%
Expected on target3.59
Shots per Game
Fiorentina — total shots (home)15.7
Torino — total shots (away)11.1
Shots on Target
Fiorentina — on target (home)4.1
Torino — on target (away)3.7
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Fiorentina
Inside the box8.05
Outside the box4.82
Torino
Inside the box7.34
Outside the box4.47
Player Shots Fiorentina
M. Kean
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target27%
R. Mandragora
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target3%
R. Piccoli
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Guðmundsson
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target9%
F. Parisi
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target9%
Player Shots Torino
G. Simeone
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target16%
C. Ngonge
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
C. Adams
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
D. Zapata
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target11%
C. Casadei
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target9%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Fiorentina xG (home)1.4
Torino xG (away)1.21
Average Possession
50.97%
Possession
44.13%
Team Comparison Fiorentina vs Torino
83.89%
Pass accuracy
79.45%
423.61
Passes per match
375.24
0.06
Goals prevented
-0.1
12.5
Fouls committed
13.95
3.34
Goalkeeper saves
2.79
1.94
Offsides
1.75
12.26
Tackles per match
16.05
League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Fiorentina vs Torino prediction analysis
Review Fiorentina vs Torino with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights