Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FK Crvena Zvezda vs Barcelona

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Barcelona prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2024-11-06 20:00
FK Crvena Zvezda
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
86%
Confidence
High
Score
2-2
Barcelona
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
19%
2
41%
Over 2.5
86%
BTTS Yes
83%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

FK Crvena Zvezda (Home)

Goals scored / match2.4
Goals conceded / match2.2
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate80%

Barcelona (Away)

Goals scored / match2.71
Goals conceded / match2.43
Over 2.5 rate57%
BTTS rate86%

Team Form last 5 matches

FK Crvena Zvezda
WLLWL
Barcelona
LDLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 100%
80% +1.5 57%
20% +2.5 57%
20% +3.5 29%
20% +4.5 29%
80% BTTS 86%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 86%. Model confidence is High.

FK Crvena Zvezda averages 2.4 goals scored at home, while Barcelona averages 2.71 goals scored away.

Model Strength
86%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
19%
Away Win
41%
Over 2.5
86%
BTTS Yes
83%

Head-to-Head last 1

Nov 2024 FK Crvena Zvezda 2 - 5 Barcelona Away

In the last 1 meetings, FK Crvena Zvezda won 0, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

FK Crvena Zvezda — unbeaten run (home)0
FK Crvena Zvezda — scoring streak (home)5
Barcelona — winless run (away)2
Barcelona — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FK Crvena Zvezda Win (1)40%
Draw (X)19%
Barcelona Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 100%
80% +1.5 57%
20% +2.5 57%
20% +3.5 29%
20% +4.5 29%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 0%
20% -1.5 43%
80% -2.5 43%
80% -3.5 71%
80% -4.5 71%

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Barcelona — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FK Crvena Zvezda — scored (home)2.4
FK Crvena Zvezda — conceded (home)2.2
Barcelona — scored (away)2.71
Barcelona — conceded (away)2.43
Model expected combined goals4.87

Both Teams To Score

Yes83%
No17%

Rate per Team

FK Crvena Zvezda — BTTS matches (home)80%
Barcelona — BTTS matches (away)86%
Combined (simple average)83%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.593%
Under 5.57%
Over 6.593%
Under 6.57%
Over 7.593%
Under 7.57%
Over 8.549%
Under 8.551%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

FK Crvena Zvezda (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against4.4

Barcelona (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against5.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FK Crvena Zvezda
8 8 10 14 14
Barcelona
7 10 12 9 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.590%
Under 0.510%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.566%
Under 2.534%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

FK Crvena Zvezda (home)

For2.8

Barcelona (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

FK Crvena Zvezda — total shots (home)13.8
Barcelona — total shots (away)14.1

Shots on Target

FK Crvena Zvezda — on target (home)5.4
Barcelona — on target (away)6.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FK Crvena Zvezda

Inside the box8
Outside the box4.3

Barcelona

Inside the box10.43
Outside the box5.57

Player Shots FK Crvena Zvezda

C. Ndiaye
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Ivanić
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
N. Radonjić
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
S. Katompa Mvumpa
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
T. Elšnik
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Barcelona

R. Lewandowski
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target46%
Lamine Yamal
Shots on Target/Game2.2
+0.5 On Target85%
+1.5 On Target69%
Raphinha
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target86%
+1.5 On Target43%
Fermín
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target18%
Ferran Torres
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FK Crvena Zvezda xG (home)1.16
Barcelona xG (away)2.36

Average Possession

43.2% Possession 61.93%

Team Comparison FK Crvena Zvezda vs Barcelona

80.3% Pass accuracy 87.21%
372.2 Passes per match 593.57
-0.41 Goals prevented -0.28
10.2 Fouls committed 8.93
2.8 Goalkeeper saves 2.64
2.4 Offsides 1
16.6 Tackles per match 16.36

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Barcelona prediction analysis

Review FK Crvena Zvezda vs Barcelona with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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