Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: FK Crvena Zvezda vs Benfica

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Benfica prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2024-09-19 16:45
FK Crvena Zvezda
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
70%
Confidence
High
Score
1-1
Benfica
Away

Prediction Summary

1
38%
X
22%
2
40%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Yes
70%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

FK Crvena Zvezda (Home)

Goals scored / match2.4
Goals conceded / match2.2
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate80%

Benfica (Away)

Goals scored / match1.5
Goals conceded / match1.17
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

FK Crvena Zvezda
WLLWL
Benfica
LLDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 83%
80% +1.5 50%
20% +2.5 17%
20% +3.5 0%
20% +4.5 0%
80% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 70%. Model confidence is High.

FK Crvena Zvezda averages 2.4 goals scored at home, while Benfica averages 1.5 goals scored away.

Model Strength
70%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
38%
Draw
22%
Away Win
40%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Yes
70%

Head-to-Head last 1

Sep 2024 FK Crvena Zvezda 1 - 2 Benfica Away

In the last 1 meetings, FK Crvena Zvezda won 0, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

FK Crvena Zvezda — unbeaten run (home)0
FK Crvena Zvezda — scoring streak (home)5
Benfica — winless run (away)1
Benfica — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

FK Crvena Zvezda Win (1)38%
Draw (X)22%
Benfica Win (2)40%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 83%
80% +1.5 50%
20% +2.5 17%
20% +3.5 0%
20% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 17%
20% -1.5 50%
80% -2.5 83%
80% -3.5 100%
80% -4.5 100%

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Benfica — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

FK Crvena Zvezda — scored (home)2.4
FK Crvena Zvezda — conceded (home)2.2
Benfica — scored (away)1.5
Benfica — conceded (away)1.17
Model expected combined goals3.63

Both Teams To Score

Yes70%
No30%

Rate per Team

FK Crvena Zvezda — BTTS matches (home)80%
Benfica — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)65%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.5100%
Under 6.50%
Over 7.592%
Under 7.58%
Over 8.554%
Under 8.546%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

FK Crvena Zvezda (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against4.4

Benfica (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

FK Crvena Zvezda
8 8 10 14 14
Benfica
10 9 5 17 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.590%
Under 0.510%
Over 1.582%
Under 1.518%
Over 2.572%
Under 2.528%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

FK Crvena Zvezda (home)

For2.8

Benfica (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

FK Crvena Zvezda — total shots (home)13.8
Benfica — total shots (away)12.7

Shots on Target

FK Crvena Zvezda — on target (home)5.4
Benfica — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

FK Crvena Zvezda

Inside the box8
Outside the box4.3

Benfica

Inside the box10
Outside the box4.33

Player Shots FK Crvena Zvezda

C. Ndiaye
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Ivanić
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
N. Radonjić
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
S. Katompa Mvumpa
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
T. Elšnik
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Benfica

V. Pavlidis
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target83%
+1.5 On Target50%
K. Aktürkoğlu
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
O. Kökçü
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Z. Amdouni
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
Á. Di María
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target22%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

FK Crvena Zvezda xG (home)1.16
Benfica xG (away)2.01

Average Possession

43.2% Possession 44.33%

Team Comparison FK Crvena Zvezda vs Benfica

80.3% Pass accuracy 80.08%
372.2 Passes per match 407.25
-0.41 Goals prevented 0.22
10.2 Fouls committed 10.83
2.8 Goalkeeper saves 3.58
2.4 Offsides 3.08
16.6 Tackles per match 21.75

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Benfica prediction analysis

Review FK Crvena Zvezda vs Benfica with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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