What markets are included in the Flamengo vs Atletico-MG prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Flamengo vs Atletico-MG prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Flamengo vs Atletico-MG

Flamengo vs Atletico-MG prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-07-27 23:30

Flamengo

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

46%

Confidence

High

Score

1-0

Atletico-MG

Away

Prediction Summary

70%

20%

10%

Under 2.5

54%

BTTS No

63%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Flamengo (Home)

Goals scored / match2.42

Goals conceded / match0.42

Over 2.5 rate42%

BTTS rate32%

Atletico-MG (Away)

Goals scored / match0.68

Goals conceded / match1.37

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate32%

Team Form last 5 matches

Flamengo

DWDWL

Atletico-MG

WLLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 42%

53% +1.5 16%

42% +2.5 5%

21% +3.5 5%

16% +4.5 0%

32% BTTS 32%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is High.

Flamengo averages 2.42 goals scored at home, while Atletico-MG averages 0.68 goals scored away.

Model Strength

70%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

70%

Draw

20%

Away Win

10%

Over 2.5

46%

BTTS Yes

37%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Flamengo(A) 1 - 1 Atletico-MG Draw

Aug 2025 Flamengo(A) 1 - 0 Atletico-MG Home

Aug 2025 Flamengo 0 - 1 Atletico-MG Away

Jul 2025 Flamengo 1 - 0 Atletico-MG Home

Nov 2024 Flamengo 0 - 0 Atletico-MG Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Flamengo won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Flamengo — unbeaten run (home)19

Flamengo — scoring streak (home)5

Atletico-MG — winless run (away)2

Atletico-MG — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Flamengo Win (1)70%

Draw (X)20%

Atletico-MG Win (2)10%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 42%

53% +1.5 16%

42% +2.5 5%

21% +3.5 5%

16% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 58%

47% -1.5 84%

58% -2.5 95%

79% -3.5 95%

84% -4.5 100%

Flamengo vs Atletico-MG — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Flamengo — scored (home)2.42

Flamengo — conceded (home)0.42

Atletico-MG — scored (away)0.68

Atletico-MG — conceded (away)1.37

Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes37%

No63%

Rate per Team

Flamengo — BTTS matches (home)32%

Atletico-MG — BTTS matches (away)32%

Combined (simple average)32%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.5100%

Under 5.50%

Over 6.584%

Under 6.516%

Over 7.579%

Under 7.521%

Over 8.566%

Under 8.534%

Over 9.556%

Under 9.544%

Over 10.542%

Under 10.558%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Flamengo (home)

Corners for6.6

Corners against3.8

Atletico-MG (away)

Corners for4.8

Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Flamengo

Atletico-MG

10 6 11 16 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.587%

Under 1.513%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Flamengo (home)

For1.9

Atletico-MG (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Flamengo — total shots (home)17.1

Atletico-MG — total shots (away)12.5

Shots on Target

Flamengo — on target (home)6.2

Atletico-MG — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Flamengo

Inside the box9.92

Outside the box5.55

Atletico-MG

Inside the box8.32

Outside the box6.76

Player Shots Flamengo

Pedro

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target38%

G. de Arrascaeta

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target12%

Bruno Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target19%

Samuel Lino

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target10%

Luiz Araújo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Atletico-MG

Rony

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target29%

Hulk

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target27%

T. Cuello

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target25%

João Marcelo

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

Guilherme Arana

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Flamengo xG (home)1.63

Atletico-MG xG (away)1.09

Average Possession

62.08% Possession 54.16%

Team Comparison Flamengo vs Atletico-MG

88.34% Pass accuracy 83.87%

562.39 Passes per match 451.13

-0.02 Goals prevented 0.03

13.42 Fouls committed 13.24

2.5 Goalkeeper saves 2.92

1.24 Offsides 1.83

15.21 Tackles per match 15.45

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Flamengo vs Atletico-MG prediction analysis

Review Flamengo vs Atletico-MG with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights