What markets are included in the Flamengo vs Botafogo prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Flamengo vs Botafogo prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Flamengo vs Botafogo

Flamengo vs Botafogo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-05-18 21:30

Flamengo

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

33%

Confidence

High

Score

1-0

Botafogo

Away

Prediction Summary

80%

17%

Under 2.5

67%

BTTS No

88%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Flamengo (Home)

Goals scored / match2.42

Goals conceded / match0.42

Over 2.5 rate42%

BTTS rate32%

Botafogo (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match0.74

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate21%

Team Form last 5 matches

Flamengo

DWDWL

Botafogo

WDDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 47%

53% +1.5 32%

42% +2.5 11%

21% +3.5 5%

16% +4.5 5%

32% BTTS 21%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 33%. Model confidence is High.

Flamengo averages 2.42 goals scored at home, while Botafogo averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

88%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

80%

Draw

17%

Away Win

Over 2.5

33%

BTTS Yes

12%

Head-to-Head last 5

Oct 2025 Flamengo(A) 3 - 0 Botafogo Home

May 2025 Flamengo 0 - 0 Botafogo Draw

Aug 2024 Flamengo(A) 1 - 4 Botafogo Away

Apr 2024 Flamengo 0 - 2 Botafogo Away

Sep 2023 Flamengo(A) 2 - 1 Botafogo Home

In the last 5 meetings, Flamengo won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Flamengo — unbeaten run (home)19

Flamengo — scoring streak (home)5

Botafogo — winless run (away)4

Botafogo — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Flamengo Win (1)80%

Draw (X)17%

Botafogo Win (2)2%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 47%

53% +1.5 32%

42% +2.5 11%

21% +3.5 5%

16% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 53%

47% -1.5 68%

58% -2.5 89%

79% -3.5 95%

84% -4.5 95%

Flamengo vs Botafogo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Flamengo — scored (home)2.42

Flamengo — conceded (home)0.42

Botafogo — scored (away)1

Botafogo — conceded (away)0.74

Model expected combined goals2.03

Both Teams To Score

Yes12%

No88%

Rate per Team

Flamengo — BTTS matches (home)32%

Botafogo — BTTS matches (away)21%

Combined (simple average)26.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.598%

Under 5.52%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.579%

Under 7.521%

Over 8.563%

Under 8.537%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.532%

Under 10.568%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Flamengo (home)

Corners for6.6

Corners against3.8

Botafogo (away)

Corners for4.1

Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Flamengo

8 10 6 7 5

Botafogo

12 8 12 8 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.576%

Under 2.524%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Flamengo (home)

For1.9

Botafogo (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Flamengo — total shots (home)17.1

Botafogo — total shots (away)12.3

Shots on Target

Flamengo — on target (home)6.2

Botafogo — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Flamengo

Inside the box9.92

Outside the box5.55

Botafogo

Inside the box9.21

Outside the box5.11

Player Shots Flamengo

Pedro

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target38%

G. de Arrascaeta

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target12%

Bruno Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target19%

Samuel Lino

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target10%

Luiz Araújo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Botafogo

Igor Jesus

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target80%

+1.5 On Target40%

Chris Ramos

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target15%

Arthur Cabral

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target10%

J. Savarino

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target15%

Artur

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Flamengo xG (home)1.63

Botafogo xG (away)1.32

Average Possession

62.08% Possession 51.76%

Team Comparison Flamengo vs Botafogo

88.34% Pass accuracy 85.26%

562.39 Passes per match 454.05

-0.02 Goals prevented 0.12

13.42 Fouls committed 14.61

2.5 Goalkeeper saves 2.47

1.24 Offsides 1.36

15.21 Tackles per match 15.24

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Flamengo vs Botafogo prediction analysis

Review Flamengo vs Botafogo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights