What markets are included in the Flamengo vs Corinthians prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Flamengo vs Corinthians prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Flamengo vs Corinthians

Flamengo vs Corinthians prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-04-27 19:00

Flamengo

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

48%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Corinthians

Away

Prediction Summary

70%

20%

10%

Under 2.5

52%

BTTS No

61%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Flamengo (Home)

Goals scored / match2.42

Goals conceded / match0.42

Over 2.5 rate42%

BTTS rate32%

Corinthians (Away)

Goals scored / match0.79

Goals conceded / match1.53

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Flamengo

DWDWL

Corinthians

DLDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 68%

53% +1.5 5%

42% +2.5 5%

21% +3.5 0%

16% +4.5 0%

32% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Medium.

Flamengo averages 2.42 goals scored at home, while Corinthians averages 0.79 goals scored away.

Model Strength

70%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

70%

Draw

20%

Away Win

10%

Over 2.5

48%

BTTS Yes

39%

Head-to-Head last 5

Sep 2025 Flamengo(A) 2 - 1 Corinthians Home

Apr 2025 Flamengo 4 - 0 Corinthians Home

Oct 2024 Flamengo(A) 0 - 0 Corinthians Draw

Oct 2024 Flamengo 1 - 0 Corinthians Home

Sep 2024 Flamengo(A) 1 - 2 Corinthians Away

In the last 5 meetings, Flamengo won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Flamengo — unbeaten run (home)19

Flamengo — scoring streak (home)5

Corinthians — winless run (away)3

Corinthians — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Flamengo Win (1)70%

Draw (X)20%

Corinthians Win (2)10%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 68%

53% +1.5 5%

42% +2.5 5%

21% +3.5 0%

16% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 32%

47% -1.5 95%

58% -2.5 95%

79% -3.5 100%

84% -4.5 100%

Flamengo vs Corinthians — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Flamengo — scored (home)2.42

Flamengo — conceded (home)0.42

Corinthians — scored (away)0.79

Corinthians — conceded (away)1.53

Model expected combined goals2.58

Both Teams To Score

Yes39%

No61%

Rate per Team

Flamengo — BTTS matches (home)32%

Corinthians — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)42.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.571%

Under 7.529%

Over 8.561%

Under 8.539%

Over 9.548%

Under 9.552%

Over 10.532%

Under 10.568%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Flamengo (home)

Corners for6.6

Corners against3.8

Corinthians (away)

Corners for4.0

Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Flamengo

8 10 6 7 5

Corinthians

9 12 12 7 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Flamengo (home)

For1.9

Corinthians (away)

For3.3

Shots per Game

Flamengo — total shots (home)17.1

Corinthians — total shots (away)9.4

Shots on Target

Flamengo — on target (home)6.2

Corinthians — on target (away)2.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Flamengo

Inside the box9.92

Outside the box5.55

Corinthians

Inside the box7.39

Outside the box4.13

Player Shots Flamengo

Pedro

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target38%

G. de Arrascaeta

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target12%

Bruno Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target19%

Samuel Lino

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target10%

Luiz Araújo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Corinthians

Yuri Alberto

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target27%

M. Depay

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target26%

Igor Coronado

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target0%

Gustavo Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target9%

Vitinho

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Flamengo xG (home)1.63

Corinthians xG (away)1.31

Average Possession

62.08% Possession 55.74%

Team Comparison Flamengo vs Corinthians

88.34% Pass accuracy 84.82%

562.39 Passes per match 467.61

-0.02 Goals prevented 0.03

13.42 Fouls committed 13.95

2.5 Goalkeeper saves 2.43

1.24 Offsides 1.79

15.21 Tackles per match 15.97

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Flamengo vs Corinthians prediction analysis

Review Flamengo vs Corinthians with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights