What markets are included in the Flamengo vs Fluminense prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Flamengo vs Fluminense prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Flamengo vs Fluminense

Flamengo vs Fluminense prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-07-20 22:30

Flamengo

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

50%

Confidence

Medium

Score

2-0

Fluminense

Away

Prediction Summary

70%

19%

11%

O/U 2.5 · No edge

50%

BTTS No

58%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Flamengo (Home)

Goals scored / match2.42

Goals conceded / match0.42

Over 2.5 rate42%

BTTS rate32%

Fluminense (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Flamengo

DWDWL

Fluminense

WWWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 58%

53% +1.5 37%

42% +2.5 5%

21% +3.5 0%

16% +4.5 0%

32% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Medium.

Flamengo averages 2.42 goals scored at home, while Fluminense averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

70%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

70%

Draw

19%

Away Win

11%

Over 2.5

50%

BTTS Yes

42%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Flamengo(A) 1 - 2 Fluminense Away

Jul 2025 Flamengo 1 - 0 Fluminense Home

Oct 2024 Flamengo 0 - 2 Fluminense Away

Jun 2024 Flamengo(A) 1 - 0 Fluminense Home

Nov 2023 Flamengo 1 - 1 Fluminense Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Flamengo won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Flamengo — unbeaten run (home)19

Flamengo — scoring streak (home)5

Fluminense — winless run (away)0

Fluminense — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Flamengo Win (1)70%

Draw (X)19%

Fluminense Win (2)11%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 58%

53% +1.5 37%

42% +2.5 5%

21% +3.5 0%

16% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 42%

47% -1.5 63%

58% -2.5 95%

79% -3.5 100%

84% -4.5 100%

Flamengo vs Fluminense — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Flamengo — scored (home)2.42

Flamengo — conceded (home)0.42

Fluminense — scored (away)1

Fluminense — conceded (away)1.47

Model expected combined goals2.68

Both Teams To Score

Yes42%

No58%

Rate per Team

Flamengo — BTTS matches (home)32%

Fluminense — BTTS matches (away)42%

Combined (simple average)37%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.577%

Under 7.523%

Over 8.574%

Under 8.526%

Over 9.561%

Under 9.539%

Over 10.532%

Under 10.568%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Flamengo (home)

Corners for6.6

Corners against3.8

Fluminense (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Flamengo

8 10 6 7 5

Fluminense

8 13 7 10 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.587%

Under 1.513%

Over 2.576%

Under 2.524%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Flamengo (home)

For1.9

Fluminense (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Flamengo — total shots (home)17.1

Fluminense — total shots (away)9.9

Shots on Target

Flamengo — on target (home)6.2

Fluminense — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Flamengo

Inside the box9.92

Outside the box5.55

Fluminense

Inside the box7.53

Outside the box4.74

Player Shots Flamengo

Pedro

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target38%

G. de Arrascaeta

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target12%

Bruno Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target19%

Samuel Lino

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target10%

Luiz Araújo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Fluminense

K. Serna

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target9%

G. Cano

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target9%

A. Canobbio

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target13%

John Kennedy

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target12%

L. Acosta

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Flamengo xG (home)1.63

Fluminense xG (away)1.12

Average Possession

62.08% Possession 52.92%

Team Comparison Flamengo vs Fluminense

88.34% Pass accuracy 84.87%

562.39 Passes per match 468.34

-0.02 Goals prevented -0.1

13.42 Fouls committed 12.84

2.5 Goalkeeper saves 2.51

1.24 Offsides 0.94

15.21 Tackles per match 15

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Flamengo vs Fluminense prediction analysis

Review Flamengo vs Fluminense with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights