What markets are included in the Flamengo vs Fortaleza EC prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Flamengo vs Fortaleza EC prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Flamengo vs Fortaleza EC

Flamengo vs Fortaleza EC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-06-01 21:30

Flamengo

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

35%

Confidence

High

Score

1-0

Fortaleza EC

Away

Prediction Summary

75%

20%

Under 2.5

65%

BTTS No

78%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Flamengo (Home)

Goals scored / match2.42

Goals conceded / match0.42

Over 2.5 rate42%

BTTS rate32%

Fortaleza EC (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05

Goals conceded / match1.84

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate68%

Team Form last 5 matches

Flamengo

DWDWL

Fortaleza EC

LWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 74%

53% +1.5 21%

42% +2.5 11%

21% +3.5 0%

16% +4.5 0%

32% BTTS 68%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 35%. Model confidence is High.

Flamengo averages 2.42 goals scored at home, while Fortaleza EC averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength

78%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

75%

Draw

20%

Away Win

Over 2.5

35%

BTTS Yes

22%

Head-to-Head last 5

Oct 2025 Flamengo(A) 0 - 1 Fortaleza EC Away

Jun 2025 Flamengo 5 - 0 Fortaleza EC Home

Nov 2024 Flamengo(A) 0 - 0 Fortaleza EC Draw

Jul 2024 Flamengo 1 - 2 Fortaleza EC Away

Nov 2023 Flamengo(A) 2 - 0 Fortaleza EC Home

In the last 5 meetings, Flamengo won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Flamengo — unbeaten run (home)19

Flamengo — scoring streak (home)5

Fortaleza EC — winless run (away)1

Fortaleza EC — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Flamengo Win (1)75%

Draw (X)20%

Fortaleza EC Win (2)5%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 74%

53% +1.5 21%

42% +2.5 11%

21% +3.5 0%

16% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 26%

47% -1.5 79%

58% -2.5 89%

79% -3.5 100%

84% -4.5 100%

Flamengo vs Fortaleza EC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Flamengo — scored (home)2.42

Flamengo — conceded (home)0.42

Fortaleza EC — scored (away)1.05

Fortaleza EC — conceded (away)1.84

Model expected combined goals2.1

Both Teams To Score

Yes22%

No78%

Rate per Team

Flamengo — BTTS matches (home)32%

Fortaleza EC — BTTS matches (away)68%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.598%

Under 5.52%

Over 6.584%

Under 6.516%

Over 7.579%

Under 7.521%

Over 8.571%

Under 8.529%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.540%

Under 10.560%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Flamengo (home)

Corners for6.6

Corners against3.8

Fortaleza EC (away)

Corners for4.5

Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Flamengo

Fortaleza EC

12 11 11 7 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.568%

Under 2.532%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Flamengo (home)

For1.9

Fortaleza EC (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Flamengo — total shots (home)17.1

Fortaleza EC — total shots (away)10.5

Shots on Target

Flamengo — on target (home)6.2

Fortaleza EC — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Flamengo

Inside the box9.92

Outside the box5.55

Fortaleza EC

Inside the box7.63

Outside the box5.26

Player Shots Flamengo

Pedro

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target38%

G. de Arrascaeta

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target12%

Bruno Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target19%

Samuel Lino

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target10%

Luiz Araújo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Fortaleza EC

A. Bareiro

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target19%

Breno Lopes

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target9%

J. Herrera

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target11%

T. Pochettino

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target19%

Deyverson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Flamengo xG (home)1.63

Fortaleza EC xG (away)1.19

Average Possession

62.08% Possession 44.18%

Team Comparison Flamengo vs Fortaleza EC

88.34% Pass accuracy 79.24%

562.39 Passes per match 354.39

-0.02 Goals prevented 0.01

13.42 Fouls committed 14.18

2.5 Goalkeeper saves 3.63

1.24 Offsides 2.06

15.21 Tackles per match 17.79

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Flamengo vs Fortaleza EC prediction analysis

Review Flamengo vs Fortaleza EC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights