What markets are included in the Flamengo vs Gremio prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Flamengo vs Gremio prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Flamengo vs Gremio

Flamengo vs Gremio prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Serie A 2025-08-31 19:00

Flamengo

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

54%

Confidence

High

Score

2-0

Gremio

Away

Prediction Summary

75%

17%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS No

60%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Flamengo (Home)

Goals scored / match2.42

Goals conceded / match0.42

Over 2.5 rate42%

BTTS rate32%

Gremio (Away)

Goals scored / match1.21

Goals conceded / match1.74

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Flamengo

DWDWL

Gremio

WLWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 68%

53% +1.5 32%

42% +2.5 16%

21% +3.5 5%

16% +4.5 0%

32% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is High.

Flamengo averages 2.42 goals scored at home, while Gremio averages 1.21 goals scored away.

Model Strength

75%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

75%

Draw

17%

Away Win

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

40%

Head-to-Head last 5

Aug 2025 Flamengo 1 - 1 Gremio Draw

Apr 2025 Flamengo(A) 2 - 0 Gremio Home

Sep 2024 Flamengo(A) 2 - 3 Gremio Away

Jun 2024 Flamengo 2 - 1 Gremio Home

Oct 2023 Flamengo(A) 2 - 3 Gremio Away

In the last 5 meetings, Flamengo won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Flamengo — unbeaten run (home)19

Flamengo — scoring streak (home)5

Gremio — winless run (away)0

Gremio — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Flamengo Win (1)75%

Draw (X)17%

Gremio Win (2)8%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 68%

53% +1.5 32%

42% +2.5 16%

21% +3.5 5%

16% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 32%

47% -1.5 68%

58% -2.5 84%

79% -3.5 95%

84% -4.5 100%

Flamengo vs Gremio — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Flamengo — scored (home)2.42

Flamengo — conceded (home)0.42

Gremio — scored (away)1.21

Gremio — conceded (away)1.74

Model expected combined goals2.85

Both Teams To Score

Yes40%

No60%

Rate per Team

Flamengo — BTTS matches (home)32%

Gremio — BTTS matches (away)58%

Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.598%

Under 5.52%

Over 6.584%

Under 6.516%

Over 7.582%

Under 7.518%

Over 8.568%

Under 8.532%

Over 9.556%

Under 9.544%

Over 10.540%

Under 10.560%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Flamengo (home)

Corners for6.6

Corners against3.8

Gremio (away)

Corners for3.7

Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Flamengo

Gremio

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Flamengo (home)

For1.9

Gremio (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Flamengo — total shots (home)17.1

Gremio — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Flamengo — on target (home)6.2

Gremio — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Flamengo

Inside the box9.92

Outside the box5.55

Gremio

Inside the box7.21

Outside the box5.03

Player Shots Flamengo

Pedro

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target38%

G. de Arrascaeta

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target12%

Bruno Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target19%

Samuel Lino

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target10%

Luiz Araújo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Gremio

Carlos Vinícius

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target36%

M. Braithwaite

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target17%

F. Amuzu

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target18%

André Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

M. Arezo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Flamengo xG (home)1.63

Gremio xG (away)1.29

Average Possession

62.08% Possession 45.16%

Team Comparison Flamengo vs Gremio

88.34% Pass accuracy 82.32%

562.39 Passes per match 379.66

-0.02 Goals prevented 0.22

13.42 Fouls committed 13.37

2.5 Goalkeeper saves 3.41

1.24 Offsides 1.08

15.21 Tackles per match 17.37

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Flamengo vs Gremio prediction analysis

Review Flamengo vs Gremio with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights