Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Flamengo vs Internacional

Flamengo vs Internacional prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-03-30 00:00
Flamengo
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
54%
Confidence
High
Score
2-0
Internacional
Away

Prediction Summary

1
72%
X
18%
2
10%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS No
57%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Flamengo (Home)

Goals scored / match2.42
Goals conceded / match0.42
Over 2.5 rate42%
BTTS rate32%

Internacional (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.95
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Flamengo
DWDWL
Internacional
WLLDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 63%
53% +1.5 21%
42% +2.5 5%
21% +3.5 0%
16% +4.5 0%
32% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is High.

Flamengo averages 2.42 goals scored at home, while Internacional averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength
72%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
72%
Draw
18%
Away Win
10%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
43%

Head-to-Head last 5

Aug 2025 Flamengo(A) 3 - 1 Internacional Home
Mar 2025 Flamengo 1 - 1 Internacional Draw
Dec 2024 Flamengo 3 - 2 Internacional Home
Oct 2024 Flamengo(A) 1 - 1 Internacional Draw
Aug 2023 Flamengo 0 - 0 Internacional Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Flamengo won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Flamengo — unbeaten run (home)19
Flamengo — scoring streak (home)5
Internacional — winless run (away)2
Internacional — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Flamengo Win (1)72%
Draw (X)18%
Internacional Win (2)10%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 63%
53% +1.5 21%
42% +2.5 5%
21% +3.5 0%
16% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 37%
47% -1.5 79%
58% -2.5 95%
79% -3.5 100%
84% -4.5 100%

Flamengo vs Internacional — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Flamengo — scored (home)2.42
Flamengo — conceded (home)0.42
Internacional — scored (away)0.89
Internacional — conceded (away)1.95
Model expected combined goals2.84

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%
No57%

Rate per Team

Flamengo — BTTS matches (home)32%
Internacional — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.566%
Under 8.534%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Flamengo (home)

Corners for6.6
Corners against3.8

Internacional (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Flamengo
8 10 6 7 5
Internacional
8 5 7 13 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.576%
Under 2.524%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Flamengo (home)

For1.9

Internacional (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Flamengo — total shots (home)17.1
Internacional — total shots (away)10.4

Shots on Target

Flamengo — on target (home)6.2
Internacional — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Flamengo

Inside the box9.92
Outside the box5.55

Internacional

Inside the box8.08
Outside the box5.5

Player Shots Flamengo

Pedro
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target38%
G. de Arrascaeta
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target12%
Bruno Henrique
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target19%
Samuel Lino
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target10%
Luiz Araújo
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Internacional

J. Carbonero
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target13%
Alan Patrick
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
Ricardo Mathias
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target23%
Gustavo Prado
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target17%
Tabata
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Flamengo xG (home)1.63
Internacional xG (away)1.4

Average Possession

62.08% Possession 51.08%

Team Comparison Flamengo vs Internacional

88.34% Pass accuracy 82.63%
562.39 Passes per match 429.03
-0.02 Goals prevented -0.13
13.42 Fouls committed 14.89
2.5 Goalkeeper saves 2.61
1.24 Offsides 1.78
15.21 Tackles per match 18.39

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Flamengo vs Internacional prediction analysis

Review Flamengo vs Internacional with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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