Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Flamengo vs Juventude

Flamengo vs Juventude prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-04-17 00:30
Flamengo
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
High
Score
2-0
Juventude
Away

Prediction Summary

1
77%
X
16%
2
7%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS No
60%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Flamengo (Home)

Goals scored / match2.42
Goals conceded / match0.42
Over 2.5 rate42%
BTTS rate32%

Juventude (Away)

Goals scored / match0.74
Goals conceded / match2.26
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Flamengo
DWDWL
Juventude
DLDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 53%
53% +1.5 16%
42% +2.5 5%
21% +3.5 0%
16% +4.5 0%
32% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is High.

Flamengo averages 2.42 goals scored at home, while Juventude averages 0.74 goals scored away.

Model Strength
77%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
77%
Draw
16%
Away Win
7%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
40%

Head-to-Head last 5

Sep 2025 Flamengo(A) 2 - 0 Juventude Home
Apr 2025 Flamengo 6 - 0 Juventude Home
Oct 2024 Flamengo 4 - 2 Juventude Home
Jun 2024 Flamengo(A) 1 - 2 Juventude Away
Nov 2022 Flamengo(A) 2 - 2 Juventude Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Flamengo won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Flamengo — unbeaten run (home)19
Flamengo — scoring streak (home)5
Juventude — winless run (away)2
Juventude — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Flamengo Win (1)77%
Draw (X)16%
Juventude Win (2)7%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 53%
53% +1.5 16%
42% +2.5 5%
21% +3.5 0%
16% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 47%
47% -1.5 84%
58% -2.5 95%
79% -3.5 100%
84% -4.5 100%

Flamengo vs Juventude — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Flamengo — scored (home)2.42
Flamengo — conceded (home)0.42
Juventude — scored (away)0.74
Juventude — conceded (away)2.26
Model expected combined goals2.92

Both Teams To Score

Yes40%
No60%

Rate per Team

Flamengo — BTTS matches (home)32%
Juventude — BTTS matches (away)42%
Combined (simple average)37%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.577%
Under 6.523%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Flamengo (home)

Corners for6.6
Corners against3.8

Juventude (away)

Corners for3.8
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Flamengo
8 10 6 7 5
Juventude
12 11 11 8 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Flamengo (home)

For1.9

Juventude (away)

For3.2

Shots per Game

Flamengo — total shots (home)17.1
Juventude — total shots (away)9.3

Shots on Target

Flamengo — on target (home)6.2
Juventude — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Flamengo

Inside the box9.92
Outside the box5.55

Juventude

Inside the box6.47
Outside the box4.42

Player Shots Flamengo

Pedro
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target38%
G. de Arrascaeta
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target12%
Bruno Henrique
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target19%
Samuel Lino
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target10%
Luiz Araújo
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Juventude

Edison Negueba
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Gabriel Taliari
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Batalla
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target5%
Mandaca
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Flamengo xG (home)1.63
Juventude xG (away)0.85

Average Possession

62.08% Possession 42.82%

Team Comparison Flamengo vs Juventude

88.34% Pass accuracy 80.89%
562.39 Passes per match 339
-0.02 Goals prevented -0.18
13.42 Fouls committed 15.89
2.5 Goalkeeper saves 3.42
1.24 Offsides 1.86
15.21 Tackles per match 15.82

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Flamengo vs Juventude prediction analysis

Review Flamengo vs Juventude with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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