What markets are included in the Flamengo vs Vasco DA Gama prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Flamengo vs Vasco DA Gama prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Flamengo vs Vasco DA Gama

Flamengo vs Vasco DA Gama prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-09-21 20:30

Flamengo

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

61%

Confidence

Medium

Score

2-0

Vasco DA Gama

Away

Prediction Summary

66%

19%

15%

Over 2.5

61%

BTTS Yes

54%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Flamengo (Home)

Goals scored / match2.42

Goals conceded / match0.42

Over 2.5 rate42%

BTTS rate32%

Vasco DA Gama (Away)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match1.79

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Flamengo

DWDWL

Vasco DA Gama

LLWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 58%

53% +1.5 32%

42% +2.5 21%

21% +3.5 5%

16% +4.5 5%

32% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 61%. Model confidence is Medium.

Flamengo averages 2.42 goals scored at home, while Vasco DA Gama averages 1.26 goals scored away.

Model Strength

66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

66%

Draw

19%

Away Win

15%

Over 2.5

61%

BTTS Yes

54%

Head-to-Head last 5

Sep 2025 Flamengo 1 - 1 Vasco DA Gama Draw

Apr 2025 Flamengo(A) 0 - 0 Vasco DA Gama Draw

Sep 2024 Flamengo 1 - 1 Vasco DA Gama Draw

Jun 2024 Flamengo(A) 6 - 1 Vasco DA Gama Home

Oct 2023 Flamengo 1 - 0 Vasco DA Gama Home

In the last 5 meetings, Flamengo won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Flamengo — unbeaten run (home)19

Flamengo — scoring streak (home)5

Vasco DA Gama — winless run (away)4

Vasco DA Gama — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Flamengo Win (1)66%

Draw (X)19%

Vasco DA Gama Win (2)15%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 58%

53% +1.5 32%

42% +2.5 21%

21% +3.5 5%

16% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 42%

47% -1.5 68%

58% -2.5 79%

79% -3.5 95%

84% -4.5 95%

Flamengo vs Vasco DA Gama — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Flamengo — scored (home)2.42

Flamengo — conceded (home)0.42

Vasco DA Gama — scored (away)1.26

Vasco DA Gama — conceded (away)1.79

Model expected combined goals3.14

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%

No46%

Rate per Team

Flamengo — BTTS matches (home)32%

Vasco DA Gama — BTTS matches (away)42%

Combined (simple average)37%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.577%

Under 6.523%

Over 7.569%

Under 7.531%

Over 8.555%

Under 8.545%

Over 9.548%

Under 9.552%

Over 10.535%

Under 10.565%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Flamengo (home)

Corners for6.6

Corners against3.8

Vasco DA Gama (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Flamengo

8 10 6 7 5

Vasco DA Gama

8 12 7 11 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.589%

Under 0.511%

Over 1.584%

Under 1.516%

Over 2.571%

Under 2.529%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Flamengo (home)

For1.9

Vasco DA Gama (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Flamengo — total shots (home)17.1

Vasco DA Gama — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Flamengo — on target (home)6.2

Vasco DA Gama — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Flamengo

Inside the box9.92

Outside the box5.55

Vasco DA Gama

Inside the box7.05

Outside the box5.55

Player Shots Flamengo

Pedro

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target38%

G. de Arrascaeta

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target12%

Bruno Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target19%

Samuel Lino

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target10%

Luiz Araújo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Vasco DA Gama

Rayan

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target74%

+1.5 On Target38%

Philippe Coutinho

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target17%

P. Vegetti

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target17%

A. Gómez

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target19%

Nuno Moreira

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Flamengo xG (home)1.63

Vasco DA Gama xG (away)1.17

Average Possession

62.08% Possession 54.58%

Team Comparison Flamengo vs Vasco DA Gama

88.34% Pass accuracy 86.47%

562.39 Passes per match 481

-0.02 Goals prevented -0.15

13.42 Fouls committed 13.18

2.5 Goalkeeper saves 3

1.24 Offsides 0.81

15.21 Tackles per match 13.68

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Flamengo vs Vasco DA Gama prediction analysis

Review Flamengo vs Vasco DA Gama with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights