What markets are included in the Flamengo vs Vitoria prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Flamengo vs Vitoria prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Flamengo vs Vitoria

Flamengo vs Vitoria prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Serie A 2026-08-09 22:30

Flamengo

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

50%

Confidence

High

Score

2-0

Vitoria

Away

Prediction Summary

74%

18%

O/U 2.5 · No edge

50%

BTTS No

62%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Flamengo (Home)

Goals scored / match2.35

Goals conceded / match0.45

Over 2.5 rate40%

BTTS rate35%

Vitoria (Away)

Goals scored / match0.67

Goals conceded / match1.86

Over 2.5 rate10%

BTTS rate38%

Team Form last 5 matches

Flamengo

DWDWD

Vitoria

LDWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

90% +0.5 43%

50% +1.5 14%

40% +2.5 10%

20% +3.5 0%

15% +4.5 0%

35% BTTS 38%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is High.

Flamengo averages 2.35 goals scored at home, while Vitoria averages 0.67 goals scored away.

Model Strength

74%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

74%

Draw

18%

Away Win

Over 2.5

50%

BTTS Yes

38%

Head-to-Head last 4

Aug 2025 Flamengo 8 - 0 Vitoria Home

Apr 2025 Flamengo(A) 2 - 1 Vitoria Home

Dec 2024 Flamengo 2 - 2 Vitoria Draw

Jul 2024 Flamengo(A) 2 - 1 Vitoria Home

In the last 4 meetings, Flamengo won 3, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Flamengo — unbeaten run (home)20

Flamengo — scoring streak (home)6

Vitoria — winless run (away)3

Vitoria — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Flamengo Win (1)74%

Draw (X)18%

Vitoria Win (2)9%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

90% +0.5 43%

50% +1.5 14%

40% +2.5 10%

20% +3.5 0%

15% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

10% -0.5 57%

50% -1.5 86%

60% -2.5 90%

80% -3.5 100%

85% -4.5 100%

Flamengo vs Vitoria — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Flamengo — scored (home)2.35

Flamengo — conceded (home)0.45

Vitoria — scored (away)0.67

Vitoria — conceded (away)1.86

Model expected combined goals2.66

Both Teams To Score

Yes38%

No62%

Rate per Team

Flamengo — BTTS matches (home)35%

Vitoria — BTTS matches (away)38%

Combined (simple average)36.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.563%

Under 8.537%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.542%

Under 10.558%

Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Flamengo (home)

Corners for6.6

Corners against3.8

Vitoria (away)

Corners for3.4

Corners against5.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Flamengo

Vitoria

5 12 5 10 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.590%

Under 0.510%

Over 1.585%

Under 1.515%

Over 2.576%

Under 2.524%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Flamengo (home)

For1.9

Vitoria (away)

For3.1

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.576%

Under 19.524%

Over 22.562%

Under 22.538%

Over 25.547%

Under 25.553%

Expected total shots25.71

Flamengo

Shots Over 9.587%

Shots Over 11.576%

Shots Over 13.562%

Expected shots15.71

On Target Over 3.577%

On Target Over 4.562%

On Target Over 5.547%

Expected on target5.56

Vitoria

Shots Over 9.551%

Shots Over 11.533%

Shots Over 13.519%

Expected shots9.99

On Target Over 3.545%

On Target Over 4.528%

On Target Over 5.515%

Expected on target3.46

Shots per Game

Flamengo — total shots (home)17.1

Vitoria — total shots (away)9.4

Shots on Target

Flamengo — on target (home)6.2

Vitoria — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Flamengo

Inside the box9.92

Outside the box5.55

Vitoria

Inside the box6.95

Outside the box4.61

Player Shots Flamengo

Pedro

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target39%

G. de Arrascaeta

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target59%

+1.5 On Target12%

Bruno Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target18%

Samuel Lino

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target9%

Luiz Araújo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target11%

Player Shots Vitoria

D. Tarzia

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

T. Pochettino

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target0%

Wellington Rato

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target20%

Renato Kayzer

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target18%

Aitor Cantalapiedra

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target16%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Flamengo xG (home)1.63

Vitoria xG (away)1.12

Average Possession

62.08% Possession 41.26%

Team Comparison Flamengo vs Vitoria

88.34% Pass accuracy 78.61%

562.39 Passes per match 324.47

-0.02 Goals prevented -0.04

13.42 Fouls committed 14.61

2.5 Goalkeeper saves 3.92

1.24 Offsides 1.83

14.93 Tackles per match 15.29

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Flamengo vs Vitoria prediction and preview

Preview Flamengo vs Vitoria with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights