What markets are included in the Fluminense vs Atletico-MG prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Fluminense vs Atletico-MG prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Fluminense vs Atletico-MG

Fluminense vs Atletico-MG prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-10-04 21:30

Fluminense

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

35%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Atletico-MG

Away

Prediction Summary

48%

29%

23%

Under 2.5

65%

BTTS No

60%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Fluminense (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63

Goals conceded / match0.58

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate37%

Atletico-MG (Away)

Goals scored / match0.68

Goals conceded / match1.37

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate32%

Team Form last 5 matches

Fluminense

WWWDW

Atletico-MG

WLLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 42%

47% +1.5 16%

11% +2.5 5%

5% +3.5 5%

5% +4.5 0%

37% BTTS 32%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 35%. Model confidence is Medium.

Fluminense averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Atletico-MG averages 0.68 goals scored away.

Model Strength

65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

48%

Draw

29%

Away Win

23%

Over 2.5

35%

BTTS Yes

40%

Head-to-Head last 5

Oct 2025 Fluminense 3 - 0 Atletico-MG Home

May 2025 Fluminense(A) 2 - 3 Atletico-MG Away

Aug 2024 Fluminense(A) 2 - 0 Atletico-MG Home

May 2024 Fluminense 2 - 2 Atletico-MG Draw

Oct 2023 Fluminense(A) 0 - 2 Atletico-MG Away

In the last 5 meetings, Fluminense won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Fluminense — unbeaten run (home)9

Fluminense — scoring streak (home)9

Atletico-MG — winless run (away)2

Atletico-MG — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Fluminense Win (1)48%

Draw (X)29%

Atletico-MG Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 42%

47% +1.5 16%

11% +2.5 5%

5% +3.5 5%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 58%

53% -1.5 84%

89% -2.5 95%

95% -3.5 95%

95% -4.5 100%

Fluminense vs Atletico-MG — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Fluminense — scored (home)1.63

Fluminense — conceded (home)0.58

Atletico-MG — scored (away)0.68

Atletico-MG — conceded (away)1.37

Model expected combined goals2.09

Both Teams To Score

Yes40%

No60%

Rate per Team

Fluminense — BTTS matches (home)37%

Atletico-MG — BTTS matches (away)32%

Combined (simple average)34.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.5100%

Under 5.50%

Over 6.587%

Under 6.513%

Over 7.579%

Under 7.521%

Over 8.558%

Under 8.542%

Over 9.543%

Under 9.557%

Over 10.532%

Under 10.568%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Fluminense (home)

Corners for5.4

Corners against3.6

Atletico-MG (away)

Corners for4.8

Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Fluminense

8 13 7 10 9

Atletico-MG

10 6 11 16 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.589%

Under 1.511%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Fluminense (home)

For1.9

Atletico-MG (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Fluminense — total shots (home)14.6

Atletico-MG — total shots (away)12.5

Shots on Target

Fluminense — on target (home)4.8

Atletico-MG — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Fluminense

Inside the box7.53

Outside the box4.74

Atletico-MG

Inside the box8.32

Outside the box6.76

Player Shots Fluminense

K. Serna

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target9%

G. Cano

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target9%

A. Canobbio

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target13%

John Kennedy

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target12%

L. Acosta

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Atletico-MG

Rony

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target29%

Hulk

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target27%

T. Cuello

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target25%

João Marcelo

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

Guilherme Arana

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Fluminense xG (home)1.12

Atletico-MG xG (away)1.09

Average Possession

52.92% Possession 54.16%

Team Comparison Fluminense vs Atletico-MG

84.87% Pass accuracy 83.87%

468.34 Passes per match 451.13

-0.1 Goals prevented 0.03

12.84 Fouls committed 13.24

2.51 Goalkeeper saves 2.92

0.94 Offsides 1.83

15 Tackles per match 15.45

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Fluminense vs Atletico-MG prediction analysis

Review Fluminense vs Atletico-MG with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights