What markets are included in the Fluminense vs Fortaleza EC prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Fluminense vs Fortaleza EC prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Fluminense vs Fortaleza EC

Fluminense vs Fortaleza EC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-08-16 19:00

Fluminense

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

39%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Fortaleza EC

Away

Prediction Summary

55%

26%

19%

Under 2.5

61%

BTTS No

59%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Fluminense (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63

Goals conceded / match0.58

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate37%

Fortaleza EC (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05

Goals conceded / match1.84

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate68%

Team Form last 5 matches

Fluminense

WWWDW

Fortaleza EC

LWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 74%

47% +1.5 21%

11% +2.5 11%

5% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

37% BTTS 68%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 39%. Model confidence is Medium.

Fluminense averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Fortaleza EC averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength

61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

55%

Draw

26%

Away Win

19%

Over 2.5

39%

BTTS Yes

41%

Head-to-Head last 5

Aug 2025 Fluminense 2 - 1 Fortaleza EC Home

Mar 2025 Fluminense(A) 0 - 2 Fortaleza EC Away

Nov 2024 Fluminense 2 - 2 Fortaleza EC Draw

Jul 2024 Fluminense(A) 0 - 1 Fortaleza EC Away

Sep 2023 Fluminense 1 - 0 Fortaleza EC Home

In the last 5 meetings, Fluminense won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Fluminense — unbeaten run (home)9

Fluminense — scoring streak (home)9

Fortaleza EC — winless run (away)1

Fortaleza EC — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Fluminense Win (1)55%

Draw (X)26%

Fortaleza EC Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 74%

47% +1.5 21%

11% +2.5 11%

5% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 26%

53% -1.5 79%

89% -2.5 89%

95% -3.5 100%

95% -4.5 100%

Fluminense vs Fortaleza EC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Fluminense — scored (home)1.63

Fluminense — conceded (home)0.58

Fortaleza EC — scored (away)1.05

Fortaleza EC — conceded (away)1.84

Model expected combined goals2.25

Both Teams To Score

Yes41%

No59%

Rate per Team

Fluminense — BTTS matches (home)37%

Fortaleza EC — BTTS matches (away)68%

Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.598%

Under 5.52%

Over 6.587%

Under 6.513%

Over 7.579%

Under 7.521%

Over 8.564%

Under 8.536%

Over 9.540%

Under 9.560%

Over 10.529%

Under 10.571%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Fluminense (home)

Corners for5.4

Corners against3.6

Fortaleza EC (away)

Corners for4.5

Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Fluminense

8 13 7 10 9

Fortaleza EC

12 11 11 7 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.574%

Under 2.526%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Fluminense (home)

For1.9

Fortaleza EC (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Fluminense — total shots (home)14.6

Fortaleza EC — total shots (away)10.5

Shots on Target

Fluminense — on target (home)4.8

Fortaleza EC — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Fluminense

Inside the box7.53

Outside the box4.74

Fortaleza EC

Inside the box7.63

Outside the box5.26

Player Shots Fluminense

K. Serna

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target9%

G. Cano

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target9%

A. Canobbio

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target13%

John Kennedy

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target12%

L. Acosta

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Fortaleza EC

A. Bareiro

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target71%

+1.5 On Target19%

Breno Lopes

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target9%

J. Herrera

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target11%

T. Pochettino

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target19%

Deyverson

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Fluminense xG (home)1.12

Fortaleza EC xG (away)1.19

Average Possession

52.92% Possession 44.18%

Team Comparison Fluminense vs Fortaleza EC

84.87% Pass accuracy 79.24%

468.34 Passes per match 354.39

-0.1 Goals prevented 0.01

12.84 Fouls committed 14.18

2.51 Goalkeeper saves 3.63

0.94 Offsides 2.06

15 Tackles per match 17.79

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Fluminense vs Fortaleza EC prediction analysis

Review Fluminense vs Fortaleza EC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights