Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Fluminense vs Juventude

Fluminense vs Juventude prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-10-17 00:30
Fluminense
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
High
Score
2-0
Juventude
Away

Prediction Summary

1
70%
X
19%
2
11%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS No
58%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Fluminense (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match0.58
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate37%

Juventude (Away)

Goals scored / match0.74
Goals conceded / match2.26
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Fluminense
WWWDW
Juventude
DLDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 53%
47% +1.5 16%
11% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%
37% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is High.

Fluminense averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Juventude averages 0.74 goals scored away.

Model Strength
70%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
70%
Draw
19%
Away Win
11%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
42%

Head-to-Head last 5

Oct 2025 Fluminense 1 - 0 Juventude Home
May 2025 Fluminense(A) 1 - 1 Juventude Draw
Sep 2024 Fluminense(A) 1 - 2 Juventude Away
Aug 2024 Fluminense 2 - 2 Juventude Draw
Aug 2024 Fluminense(A) 2 - 3 Juventude Away

In the last 5 meetings, Fluminense won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Fluminense — unbeaten run (home)9
Fluminense — scoring streak (home)9
Juventude — winless run (away)2
Juventude — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Fluminense Win (1)70%
Draw (X)19%
Juventude Win (2)11%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 53%
47% +1.5 16%
11% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 47%
53% -1.5 84%
89% -2.5 95%
95% -3.5 100%
95% -4.5 100%

Fluminense vs Juventude — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Fluminense — scored (home)1.63
Fluminense — conceded (home)0.58
Juventude — scored (away)0.74
Juventude — conceded (away)2.26
Model expected combined goals2.7

Both Teams To Score

Yes42%
No58%

Rate per Team

Fluminense — BTTS matches (home)37%
Juventude — BTTS matches (away)42%
Combined (simple average)39.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.537%
Under 9.563%
Over 10.524%
Under 10.576%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Fluminense (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against3.6

Juventude (away)

Corners for3.8
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Fluminense
8 13 7 10 9
Juventude
12 11 11 8 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

Fluminense (home)

For1.9

Juventude (away)

For3.2

Shots per Game

Fluminense — total shots (home)14.6
Juventude — total shots (away)9.3

Shots on Target

Fluminense — on target (home)4.8
Juventude — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Fluminense

Inside the box7.53
Outside the box4.74

Juventude

Inside the box6.47
Outside the box4.42

Player Shots Fluminense

K. Serna
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target9%
G. Cano
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Canobbio
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target13%
John Kennedy
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target12%
L. Acosta
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Juventude

Edison Negueba
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Gabriel Taliari
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Batalla
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target5%
Mandaca
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Fluminense xG (home)1.12
Juventude xG (away)0.85

Average Possession

52.92% Possession 42.82%

Team Comparison Fluminense vs Juventude

84.87% Pass accuracy 80.89%
468.34 Passes per match 339
-0.1 Goals prevented -0.18
12.84 Fouls committed 15.89
2.51 Goalkeeper saves 3.42
0.94 Offsides 1.86
15 Tackles per match 15.82

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Fluminense vs Juventude prediction analysis

Review Fluminense vs Juventude with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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