What markets are included in the Fluminense vs Palmeiras prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Fluminense vs Palmeiras prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Fluminense vs Palmeiras

Fluminense vs Palmeiras prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-07-23 22:00

Fluminense

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

41%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Palmeiras

Away

Prediction Summary

32%

28%

40%

Under 2.5

59%

BTTS No

53%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Fluminense (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63

Goals conceded / match0.58

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate37%

Palmeiras (Away)

Goals scored / match1.63

Goals conceded / match1.16

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Fluminense

WWWDW

Palmeiras

WWLDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 89%

47% +1.5 58%

11% +2.5 16%

5% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

37% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.

Fluminense averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Palmeiras averages 1.63 goals scored away.

Model Strength

59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

32%

Draw

28%

Away Win

40%

Over 2.5

41%

BTTS Yes

47%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Fluminense(A) 0 - 0 Palmeiras Draw

Jul 2025 Fluminense 1 - 2 Palmeiras Away

Dec 2024 Fluminense(A) 1 - 0 Palmeiras Home

Jul 2024 Fluminense 1 - 0 Palmeiras Home

Dec 2023 Fluminense(A) 0 - 1 Palmeiras Away

In the last 5 meetings, Fluminense won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Fluminense — unbeaten run (home)9

Fluminense — scoring streak (home)9

Palmeiras — winless run (away)0

Palmeiras — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Fluminense Win (1)32%

Draw (X)28%

Palmeiras Win (2)40%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 89%

47% +1.5 58%

11% +2.5 16%

5% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 11%

53% -1.5 42%

89% -2.5 84%

95% -3.5 100%

95% -4.5 100%

Fluminense vs Palmeiras — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Fluminense — scored (home)1.63

Fluminense — conceded (home)0.58

Palmeiras — scored (away)1.63

Palmeiras — conceded (away)1.16

Model expected combined goals2.33

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%

No53%

Rate per Team

Fluminense — BTTS matches (home)37%

Palmeiras — BTTS matches (away)63%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.587%

Under 6.513%

Over 7.577%

Under 7.523%

Over 8.558%

Under 8.542%

Over 9.543%

Under 9.557%

Over 10.532%

Under 10.568%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Fluminense (home)

Corners for5.4

Corners against3.6

Palmeiras (away)

Corners for6.0

Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Fluminense

8 13 7 10 9

Palmeiras

9 13 8 16 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Fluminense (home)

For1.9

Palmeiras (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Fluminense — total shots (home)14.6

Palmeiras — total shots (away)13.5

Shots on Target

Fluminense — on target (home)4.8

Palmeiras — on target (away)5.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Fluminense

Inside the box7.53

Outside the box4.74

Palmeiras

Inside the box8.79

Outside the box6.61

Player Shots Fluminense

K. Serna

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target9%

G. Cano

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target9%

A. Canobbio

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target13%

John Kennedy

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target12%

L. Acosta

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Palmeiras

Vitor Roque

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target30%

J. López

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target73%

+1.5 On Target30%

F. Torres

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target14%

Luighi Hanri

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target18%

Andreas Pereira

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Fluminense xG (home)1.12

Palmeiras xG (away)1.49

Average Possession

52.92% Possession 52.34%

Team Comparison Fluminense vs Palmeiras

84.87% Pass accuracy 82.21%

468.34 Passes per match 406.61

-0.1 Goals prevented 0.13

12.84 Fouls committed 14.61

2.51 Goalkeeper saves 2.95

0.94 Offsides 1.79

15 Tackles per match 16.89

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Fluminense vs Palmeiras prediction analysis

Review Fluminense vs Palmeiras with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights