What markets are included in the Fluminense vs Sao Paulo prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Fluminense vs Sao Paulo prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Fluminense vs Sao Paulo

Fluminense vs Sao Paulo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-11-27 23:30

Fluminense

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

36%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Sao Paulo

Away

Prediction Summary

50%

28%

22%

Under 2.5

64%

BTTS No

59%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Fluminense (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63

Goals conceded / match0.58

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate37%

Sao Paulo (Away)

Goals scored / match0.84

Goals conceded / match1.58

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate37%

Team Form last 5 matches

Fluminense

WWWDW

Sao Paulo

LWLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 53%

47% +1.5 32%

11% +2.5 0%

5% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

37% BTTS 37%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 36%. Model confidence is Medium.

Fluminense averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Sao Paulo averages 0.84 goals scored away.

Model Strength

64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

50%

Draw

28%

Away Win

22%

Over 2.5

36%

BTTS Yes

41%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Fluminense 6 - 0 Sao Paulo Home

Jul 2025 Fluminense(A) 1 - 3 Sao Paulo Away

Sep 2024 Fluminense 2 - 0 Sao Paulo Home

May 2024 Fluminense(A) 1 - 2 Sao Paulo Away

Nov 2023 Fluminense 1 - 0 Sao Paulo Home

In the last 5 meetings, Fluminense won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Fluminense — unbeaten run (home)9

Fluminense — scoring streak (home)9

Sao Paulo — winless run (away)3

Sao Paulo — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Fluminense Win (1)50%

Draw (X)28%

Sao Paulo Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 53%

47% +1.5 32%

11% +2.5 0%

5% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 47%

53% -1.5 68%

89% -2.5 100%

95% -3.5 100%

95% -4.5 100%

Fluminense vs Sao Paulo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Fluminense — scored (home)1.63

Fluminense — conceded (home)0.58

Sao Paulo — scored (away)0.84

Sao Paulo — conceded (away)1.58

Model expected combined goals2.15

Both Teams To Score

Yes41%

No59%

Rate per Team

Fluminense — BTTS matches (home)37%

Sao Paulo — BTTS matches (away)37%

Combined (simple average)37%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.598%

Under 5.52%

Over 6.590%

Under 6.510%

Over 7.579%

Under 7.521%

Over 8.561%

Under 8.539%

Over 9.545%

Under 9.555%

Over 10.532%

Under 10.568%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Fluminense (home)

Corners for5.4

Corners against3.6

Sao Paulo (away)

Corners for4.5

Corners against6.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Fluminense

8 13 7 10 9

Sao Paulo

9 11 7 13 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.587%

Under 2.513%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Fluminense (home)

For1.9

Sao Paulo (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Fluminense — total shots (home)14.6

Sao Paulo — total shots (away)10.4

Shots on Target

Fluminense — on target (home)4.8

Sao Paulo — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Fluminense

Inside the box7.53

Outside the box4.74

Sao Paulo

Inside the box7.11

Outside the box4.74

Player Shots Fluminense

K. Serna

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target9%

G. Cano

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target9%

A. Canobbio

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target13%

John Kennedy

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target12%

L. Acosta

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Sao Paulo

Luciano

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target19%

G. Tapia

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target15%

J. Dinenno

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target14%

Ferreira

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target4%

André Silva

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Fluminense xG (home)1.12

Sao Paulo xG (away)1.15

Average Possession

52.92% Possession 52.13%

Team Comparison Fluminense vs Sao Paulo

84.87% Pass accuracy 83.71%

468.34 Passes per match 438.63

-0.1 Goals prevented 0.21

12.84 Fouls committed 14.24

2.51 Goalkeeper saves 3.21

0.94 Offsides 1.47

15 Tackles per match 17.21

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Fluminense vs Sao Paulo prediction analysis

Review Fluminense vs Sao Paulo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights