What markets are included in the Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama

Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-05-24 21:30

Fluminense

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

42%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Vasco DA Gama

Away

Prediction Summary

65%

23%

13%

Under 2.5

58%

BTTS No

62%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Fluminense (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63

Goals conceded / match0.58

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate37%

Vasco DA Gama (Away)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match1.79

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Fluminense

WWWDW

Vasco DA Gama

LLWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 58%

47% +1.5 32%

11% +2.5 21%

5% +3.5 5%

5% +4.5 5%

37% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.

Fluminense averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Vasco DA Gama averages 1.26 goals scored away.

Model Strength

65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

65%

Draw

23%

Away Win

13%

Over 2.5

42%

BTTS Yes

38%

Head-to-Head last 5

Dec 2025 Fluminense 1 - 0 Vasco DA Gama Home

Dec 2025 Fluminense(A) 1 - 2 Vasco DA Gama Away

Oct 2025 Fluminense(A) 0 - 2 Vasco DA Gama Away

May 2025 Fluminense 2 - 1 Vasco DA Gama Home

Aug 2024 Fluminense(A) 0 - 2 Vasco DA Gama Away

In the last 5 meetings, Fluminense won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Fluminense — unbeaten run (home)9

Fluminense — scoring streak (home)9

Vasco DA Gama — winless run (away)4

Vasco DA Gama — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Fluminense Win (1)65%

Draw (X)23%

Vasco DA Gama Win (2)13%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 58%

47% +1.5 32%

11% +2.5 21%

5% +3.5 5%

5% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 42%

53% -1.5 68%

89% -2.5 79%

95% -3.5 95%

95% -4.5 95%

Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Fluminense — scored (home)1.63

Fluminense — conceded (home)0.58

Vasco DA Gama — scored (away)1.26

Vasco DA Gama — conceded (away)1.79

Model expected combined goals2.38

Both Teams To Score

Yes38%

No62%

Rate per Team

Fluminense — BTTS matches (home)37%

Vasco DA Gama — BTTS matches (away)42%

Combined (simple average)39.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.569%

Under 7.531%

Over 8.548%

Under 8.552%

Over 9.535%

Under 9.565%

Over 10.524%

Under 10.576%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Fluminense (home)

Corners for5.4

Corners against3.6

Vasco DA Gama (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Fluminense

8 13 7 10 9

Vasco DA Gama

8 12 7 11 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.587%

Under 1.513%

Over 2.577%

Under 2.523%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Fluminense (home)

For1.9

Vasco DA Gama (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Fluminense — total shots (home)14.6

Vasco DA Gama — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Fluminense — on target (home)4.8

Vasco DA Gama — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Fluminense

Inside the box7.53

Outside the box4.74

Vasco DA Gama

Inside the box7.05

Outside the box5.55

Player Shots Fluminense

K. Serna

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target9%

G. Cano

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target9%

A. Canobbio

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target13%

John Kennedy

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target12%

L. Acosta

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Vasco DA Gama

Rayan

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target74%

+1.5 On Target38%

Philippe Coutinho

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target17%

P. Vegetti

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target17%

A. Gómez

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target19%

Nuno Moreira

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Fluminense xG (home)1.12

Vasco DA Gama xG (away)1.17

Average Possession

52.92% Possession 54.58%

Team Comparison Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama

84.87% Pass accuracy 86.47%

468.34 Passes per match 481

-0.1 Goals prevented -0.15

12.84 Fouls committed 13.18

2.51 Goalkeeper saves 3

0.94 Offsides 0.81

15 Tackles per match 13.68

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama prediction analysis

Review Fluminense vs Vasco DA Gama with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights