Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Forge vs Pacific FC

Forge vs Pacific FC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Canadian Premier League 2026-08-22 23:00
Forge
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
Forge
Probability
70%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-0
Pacific FC
Away

Prediction Summary

1
70%
X
18%
2
12%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Forge (Home)

Goals scored / match1.94
Goals conceded / match0.82
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate53%

Pacific FC (Away)

Goals scored / match0.8
Goals conceded / match2.53
Over 2.5 rate7%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Forge
WWLLW
Pacific FC
LLLDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 53%
59% +1.5 20%
24% +2.5 7%
12% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 70%. Model confidence is Medium.

Forge averages 1.94 goals scored at home, while Pacific FC averages 0.8 goals scored away.

Model Strength
70%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
70%
Draw
18%
Away Win
12%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
50%

Head-to-Head last 5

Sep 2025 Forge 4 - 0 Pacific FC Home
Jul 2025 Forge 2 - 0 Pacific FC Home
May 2025 Forge(A) 1 - 0 Pacific FC Home
Apr 2025 Forge(A) 2 - 0 Pacific FC Home
Oct 2024 Forge(A) 0 - 1 Pacific FC Away

In the last 5 meetings, Forge won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Forge — unbeaten run (home)1
Forge — scoring streak (home)1
Pacific FC — winless run (away)7
Pacific FC — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Forge Win (1)70%
Draw (X)18%
Pacific FC Win (2)12%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 53%
59% +1.5 20%
24% +2.5 7%
12% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 47%
41% -1.5 80%
76% -2.5 93%
88% -3.5 100%
94% -4.5 100%

Forge vs Pacific FC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Forge — scored (home)1.94
Forge — conceded (home)0.82
Pacific FC — scored (away)0.8
Pacific FC — conceded (away)2.53
Model expected combined goals3.05

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%
No50%

Rate per Team

Forge — BTTS matches (home)53%
Pacific FC — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Forge (home)

Corners for4.2
Corners against3.8

Pacific FC (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Forge
5 7 11 9 8
Pacific FC
14 7 8 10 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.584%
Under 0.516%
Over 1.584%
Under 1.516%
Over 2.575%
Under 2.525%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Forge (home)

For1.8

Pacific FC (away)

For2.5

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.567%
Under 19.533%
Over 22.550%
Under 22.550%
Over 25.534%
Under 25.566%
Expected total shots23.12

Forge

Shots Over 9.572%
Shots Over 11.554%
Shots Over 13.537%
Expected shots12.39
On Target Over 3.565%
On Target Over 4.547%
On Target Over 5.530%
Expected on target4.52

Pacific FC

Shots Over 9.559%
Shots Over 11.539%
Shots Over 13.524%
Expected shots10.74
On Target Over 3.549%
On Target Over 4.531%
On Target Over 5.517%
Expected on target3.66

Shots per Game

Forge — total shots (home)11.6
Pacific FC — total shots (away)8.0

Shots on Target

Forge — on target (home)4.2
Pacific FC — on target (away)2.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Forge

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box3.83

Pacific FC

Inside the box7.25
Outside the box3

Player Shots Forge

N. Ampomah
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target40%
N. Jensen
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
T. Borges
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%
B. Wright
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
D. Choinière
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Pacific FC

Yann Régis Toualy
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
D. Zanatta
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
A. Ndom
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
S. Young
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
Sami Keshavarz
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Forge xG (home)2.02
Pacific FC xG (away)0

Average Possession

50.17% Possession 46.5%

Team Comparison Forge vs Pacific FC

84.17% Pass accuracy 80%
437.5 Passes per match 388
0 Goals prevented 0
10.17 Fouls committed 13
3.33 Goalkeeper saves 2.5
2.83 Offsides 2
15 Tackles per match 15.8

League average xG this season is 1.61 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Forge vs Pacific FC prediction analysis

Review Forge vs Pacific FC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Canadian Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Canadian Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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