Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Forge vs Supra du Quebec

Forge vs Supra du Quebec prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Canadian Premier League 2026-08-19 23:00
Forge
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
74%
Confidence
High
Score
1-1
Supra du Quebec
Away

Prediction Summary

1
41%
X
21%
2
38%
Over 2.5
74%
BTTS Yes
73%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Forge (Home)

Goals scored / match1.94
Goals conceded / match0.82
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate53%

Supra du Quebec (Away)

Goals scored / match3
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate100%
BTTS rate100%

Team Form last 5 matches

Forge
WWLLW
Supra du Quebec
WLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 100%
59% +1.5 100%
24% +2.5 100%
12% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 100%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 74%. Model confidence is High.

Forge averages 1.94 goals scored at home, while Supra du Quebec averages 3 goals scored away.

Model Strength
74%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
41%
Draw
21%
Away Win
38%
Over 2.5
74%
BTTS Yes
73%

Head-to-Head last 1

Jul 2026 Forge(A) 2 - 1 Supra du Quebec Home

In the last 1 meetings, Forge won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Forge — unbeaten run (home)1
Forge — scoring streak (home)1
Supra du Quebec — winless run (away)0
Supra du Quebec — clean sheets (away, last 1)0 of 1

1X2 Probability model

Forge Win (1)41%
Draw (X)21%
Supra du Quebec Win (2)38%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 100%
59% +1.5 100%
24% +2.5 100%
12% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 0%
41% -1.5 0%
76% -2.5 0%
88% -3.5 100%
94% -4.5 100%

Forge vs Supra du Quebec — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Forge — scored (home)1.94
Forge — conceded (home)0.82
Supra du Quebec — scored (away)3
Supra du Quebec — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals3.88

Both Teams To Score

Yes73%
No27%

Rate per Team

Forge — BTTS matches (home)53%
Supra du Quebec — BTTS matches (away)100%
Combined (simple average)76.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Forge (home)

Corners for4.2
Corners against3.8

Supra du Quebec (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Forge
5 7 11 9 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.550%
Under 1.550%
Over 2.542%
Under 2.558%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Forge (home)

For1.8

Supra du Quebec (away)

For—

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.568%
Under 19.532%
Over 22.552%
Under 22.548%
Over 25.536%
Under 25.564%
Expected total shots23.43

Forge

Shots Over 9.572%
Shots Over 11.555%
Shots Over 13.538%
Expected shots12.44
On Target Over 3.566%
On Target Over 4.548%
On Target Over 5.531%
Expected on target4.58

Supra du Quebec

Shots Over 9.561%
Shots Over 11.542%
Shots Over 13.526%
Expected shots11.00
On Target Over 3.553%
On Target Over 4.534%
On Target Over 5.520%
Expected on target3.85

Shots per Game

Forge — total shots (home)11.6
Supra du Quebec — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Forge — on target (home)4.2
Supra du Quebec — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Forge

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box3.83

Supra du Quebec

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Player Shots Forge

N. Ampomah
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target40%
N. Jensen
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
T. Borges
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%
B. Wright
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
D. Choinière
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Supra du Quebec

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Forge xG (home)2.02
Supra du Quebec xG (away)-

Average Possession

50.17% Possession -%

Team Comparison Forge vs Supra du Quebec

84.17% Pass accuracy 0%
437.5 Passes per match -
0 Goals prevented -
10.17 Fouls committed -
3.33 Goalkeeper saves -
2.83 Offsides -
15 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.61 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Forge vs Supra du Quebec prediction analysis

Review Forge vs Supra du Quebec with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Canadian Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Canadian Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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