Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Forge vs Vancouver FC

Forge vs Vancouver FC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Canadian Premier League 2026-08-07 23:00
Forge
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
62%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Vancouver FC
Away

Prediction Summary

1
55%
X
22%
2
23%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Forge (Home)

Goals scored / match1.94
Goals conceded / match0.82
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate53%

Vancouver FC (Away)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate75%

Team Form last 5 matches

Forge
WWLLW
Vancouver FC
WWWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 75%
59% +1.5 38%
24% +2.5 25%
12% +3.5 19%
6% +4.5 6%
53% BTTS 75%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.

Forge averages 1.94 goals scored at home, while Vancouver FC averages 1.63 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
55%
Draw
22%
Away Win
23%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
61%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jul 2026 Forge 3 - 2 Vancouver FC Home
Oct 2025 Forge 1 - 1 Vancouver FC Draw
Aug 2025 Forge(A) 1 - 0 Vancouver FC Home
Jul 2025 Forge 2 - 1 Vancouver FC Home
Jun 2025 Forge(A) 2 - 0 Vancouver FC Home

In the last 5 meetings, Forge won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Forge — unbeaten run (home)1
Forge — scoring streak (home)1
Vancouver FC — winless run (away)0
Vancouver FC — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Forge Win (1)55%
Draw (X)22%
Vancouver FC Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 75%
59% +1.5 38%
24% +2.5 25%
12% +3.5 19%
6% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 25%
41% -1.5 62%
76% -2.5 75%
88% -3.5 81%
94% -4.5 94%

Forge vs Vancouver FC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Forge — scored (home)1.94
Forge — conceded (home)0.82
Vancouver FC — scored (away)1.63
Vancouver FC — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals3.2

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%
No39%

Rate per Team

Forge — BTTS matches (home)53%
Vancouver FC — BTTS matches (away)75%
Combined (simple average)64%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Forge (home)

Corners for4.2
Corners against3.8

Vancouver FC (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Forge
5 7 11 9 8
Vancouver FC
14 5 9 8 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.583%
Under 2.517%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Forge (home)

For1.8

Vancouver FC (away)

For3.6

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.569%
Under 19.531%
Over 22.552%
Under 22.548%
Over 25.536%
Under 25.564%
Expected total shots23.52

Forge

Shots Over 9.575%
Shots Over 11.559%
Shots Over 13.541%
Expected shots12.88
On Target Over 3.569%
On Target Over 4.551%
On Target Over 5.535%
Expected on target4.77

Vancouver FC

Shots Over 9.558%
Shots Over 11.538%
Shots Over 13.523%
Expected shots10.64
On Target Over 3.550%
On Target Over 4.531%
On Target Over 5.518%
Expected on target3.70

Shots per Game

Forge — total shots (home)11.6
Vancouver FC — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

Forge — on target (home)4.2
Vancouver FC — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Forge

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box3.83

Vancouver FC

Inside the box7
Outside the box4

Player Shots Forge

N. Ampomah
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target40%
N. Jensen
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
T. Borges
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%
B. Wright
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target0%
D. Choinière
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Vancouver FC

T. Campbell
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
T. Bah
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
N. Mezquida
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
V. Fry
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Campagna
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Forge xG (home)2.02
Vancouver FC xG (away)1.2

Average Possession

50.17% Possession 45.17%

Team Comparison Forge vs Vancouver FC

84.17% Pass accuracy 77.67%
437.5 Passes per match 376.5
0 Goals prevented 0
10.17 Fouls committed 11.17
3.33 Goalkeeper saves 4.33
2.83 Offsides 1.17
15 Tackles per match 22

League average xG this season is 1.61 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Forge vs Vancouver FC prediction analysis

Review Forge vs Vancouver FC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Canadian Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Canadian Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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