Prediction Analysis: Fortaleza EC vs Botafogo SP
Fortaleza EC vs Botafogo SP prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Fortaleza EC
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
47%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1

Botafogo SP
Away
Prediction Summary
1
35%
X
28%
2
37%
Under 2.5
60%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Fortaleza EC (Home)
Goals scored / match1.25
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate25%
Botafogo SP (Away)
Goals scored / match1.33
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate33%
Team Form last 5 matches
Fortaleza EC
LWWWD
Botafogo SP
WDDWL
Goals Comparison rate per team
75%
+0.5
67%
50%
+1.5
33%
0%
+2.5
33%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
25%
BTTS
33%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 47%. Model confidence is Medium.
Fortaleza EC averages 1.25 goals scored at home, while Botafogo SP averages 1.33 goals scored away.
Model Strength
60%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
35%
Draw
28%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
Head-to-Head last 0
No head-to-head historyThese two teams have no finished match on record against each other.
Current Streaks
Fortaleza EC — unbeaten run (home)3
Fortaleza EC — scoring streak (home)3
Botafogo SP — winless run (away)2
Botafogo SP — clean sheets (away, last 3)2 of 3
1X2 Probability model
Fortaleza EC Win (1)35%
Draw (X)28%
Botafogo SP Win (2)37%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
75%
+0.5
67%
50%
+1.5
33%
0%
+2.5
33%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
25%
-0.5
33%
50%
-1.5
67%
100%
-2.5
67%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Fortaleza EC vs Botafogo SP — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Fortaleza EC — scored (home)1.25
Fortaleza EC — conceded (home)1
Botafogo SP — scored (away)1.33
Botafogo SP — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals2.29
Both Teams To Score
Yes47%
No53%
Rate per Team
Fortaleza EC — BTTS matches (home)25%
Botafogo SP — BTTS matches (away)33%
Combined (simple average)29%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10
Per-Team Corners own matches
Fortaleza EC (home)
Corners for6.8
Corners against3.8
Botafogo SP (away)
Corners for4.0
Corners against7.5
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Fortaleza EC
14
8
11
13
7
Botafogo SP
12
17
8
11
11
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.5100%
Under 2.50%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5
Yellow Cards per Team
Fortaleza EC (home)
For3.0
Botafogo SP (away)
For2.0
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.580%
Under 19.520%
Over 22.567%
Under 22.533%
Over 25.552%
Under 25.548%
Expected total shots26.67
Fortaleza EC
Shots Over 9.587%
Shots Over 11.575%
Shots Over 13.561%
Expected shots15.52
On Target Over 3.571%
On Target Over 4.553%
On Target Over 5.537%
Expected on target4.92
Botafogo SP
Shots Over 9.562%
Shots Over 11.543%
Shots Over 13.527%
Expected shots11.15
On Target Over 3.545%
On Target Over 4.527%
On Target Over 5.515%
Expected on target3.46
Shots per Game
Fortaleza EC — total shots (home)17.5
Botafogo SP — total shots (away)9.5
Shots on Target
Fortaleza EC — on target (home)6.8
Botafogo SP — on target (away)2.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Fortaleza EC
Inside the box10.67
Outside the box6.17
Botafogo SP
Inside the box8
Outside the box4
Player Shots Fortaleza EC
J. Miritello
Shots on Target/Game2.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target60%
Vitinho
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target80%
+1.5 On Target40%
Luiz Fernando
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
Lucas Crispim
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
Welliton
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target17%
Player Shots Botafogo SP
Wesley Pinheiro
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
Hygor
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Patrick Brey
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Rafael Gava
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Kelvin
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Fortaleza EC xG (home)1.46
Botafogo SP xG (away)1.27
Average Possession
52.17%
Possession
44.8%
Team Comparison Fortaleza EC vs Botafogo SP
83.67%
Pass accuracy
75.84%
427
Passes per match
332.6
0.14
Goals prevented
-0.47
14.33
Fouls committed
18.2
3.83
Goalkeeper saves
2.8
2.17
Offsides
1.8
12.17
Tackles per match
15.4
League average xG this season is 1.13 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Fortaleza EC vs Botafogo SP prediction analysis
Review Fortaleza EC vs Botafogo SP with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie B.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie B
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights